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IDRIdaho Strategic Resources, Inc.Hold6.0·$22.93
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Idaho Strategic Resources pairs a high-quality compounder profile with a strong growth rate and cheap growth-adjusted valuation, but near-term momentum is a temporary headwind with the shares in a pullback below their still-rising 200-day average, and the risk/reward setup sits just under the engine's asymmetry bar.

Thesis pillars

  • Asymmetry Just Below Bar→Stable
  • High Quality Compounder Profile→Stable
  • Strong Growth Profile→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. (IDR) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Temporary headwind edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: gold; Market cap $377M below $400M minimum.

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of gold, silver, and base metal mineral resources in the North Idaho. The company was formerly known as New Jersey Mining Company and changed its name to Idaho... Read more

$22.93+66.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#29 of 44 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-2.00%
Stop $21.44Target $38.25(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$45.00+96.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: gold; Market cap $377M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 10, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Market cap $377M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and SEC filing concern. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.

About Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.

Idaho Strategic Resources centers its business on gold exploration and mining at the Golden Chest Mine and adjacent properties in Idaho, processing ore through a conventional flotation method into a bulk sulfide concentrate sold to smelters in South Korea and/or Asia. Continuous production depends on maintaining sufficient water rights and physical water availability for its mining and milling operations, and the company's future largely hinges on the success of ongoing exploration drilling at Golden Chest and nearby claims.

Idaho Strategic Resources sells its concentrate at prices tied to spot gold and other metal markets rather than long-term fixed contracts, so profitability rises and falls with global gold prices, currency exchange rates, and production costs for fuel, electricity, and labor. The company has not disclosed proven or probable reserves in the excerpted filing and instead frames its story around exploration success, meaning near-term cash flow depends on converting drilling results at Golden Chest into economically mineable material. Environmental obligations include managing mine-contact water, stormwater diversion, and tailings storage facilities, with climate change cited as a source of both risk (increased drought or heavy-rainfall events straining water management) and potential upside (warmer winters extending the drilling season). The company also flags going-concern-style liquidity risk, noting there is no assurance its initiatives to improve liquidity and financial position will succeed if internally generated cash flow proves insufficient for working capital needs.

Show full overview

The clearest off-take concentration in Idaho Strategic Resources' filing is on the buy side of its supply chain rather than a single customer contract: the company's entire saleable product, a bulk sulfide flotation concentrate, ships to smelters in South Korea and/or Asia, and final payment is determined by the smelter's own sampling of the concentrate rather than the company's provisional mill samples, a structural pricing dependency the company has tried to narrow by increasing sample mass at the mill. That same filing flags tariffs and trade sanctions as a distinct risk to the exploration supplies and equipment it sources, meaning Idaho Strategic Resources carries cross-border exposure on both ends of its business — importing mining inputs and exporting concentrate for smelting — without naming a single alternate smelting counterparty.

See also: Basic Materials · Gold

From Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: gold
Market cap $377M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)30.1
Mkt Cap$377M
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn44.0%
ROE25.5%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta1.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV96%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditygold
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations will be significantly affected by changes in the market price of gold.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersmelters in South Korea and/or Asia
    10-K Item 1A: 'a bulk sulfide flotation concentrate that is sold to smelters in South Korea and/or Asia'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 4.01HIGH
    Auditor Assure CPA, LLC resigned June 3, 2026 after merging into Sadler, Gibb & Associates, LLC, which the Audit Committee approved as successor auditor. No disagreements and no adverse/qualified opinions were reported for FY2024-2025; change was firm-merger driven, not dispute-driven.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Vol Acceleration
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Volume
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 10, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.8%/30d — confirmed downtrendVolume surge (2.5x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)SEC critical: A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
10 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.10Resistance $31.26

Price Targets

$21
$38
A.Upside+66.8%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $377M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IDR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Commodity: gold; Market cap $377M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 10, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Market cap $377M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $38.25 (+66.8%), stop $21.44 (−6.9%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.25 (+66.8% upside). Target $38.25 (+66.8%), stop $21.44 (−6.9%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $21.44.

What are the risks of investing in IDR?

Concentration risk — Commodity: gold; Market cap $377M below $400M minimum.

Is IDR overvalued or undervalued?

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 30.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about IDR?

5 analysts cover IDR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. do?Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of...

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of gold, silver, and base metal mineral resources in the North Idaho. The company was formerly known as New Jersey Mining Company and changed its name to Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. in December 2021. Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Coeur d'Alene, Idaho.

Related stocks: GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · MAKO (Mako Mining Corp) · DRD (DRDGOLD Limited) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation)
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