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IDRIdaho Strategic Resources, Inc.Buy Wait6.8·$34.72+0.06%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Idaho Strategic Resources pairs a high-quality compounder profile with a strong growth rate and cheap growth-adjusted valuation, but near-term momentum is a temporary headwind with the shares in a pullback below their still-rising 200-day average, and the risk/reward setup sits just under the engine's asymmetry bar.

Thesis pillars

  • Asymmetry Just Below BarStable
  • High Quality Compounder ProfileStable
  • Strong Growth ProfileStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. (IDR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $29.76. At $34.72 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $29.76 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: gold; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of gold, silver, and base metal mineral resources in the North Idaho. The company was formerly known as New Jersey Mining Company and changed its name to Idaho... Read more

$34.72+10.2% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#19 of 40 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-0.31%
Entry $29.76(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $25.90Target $38.25(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$45.00+29.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $29.76. At $34.72 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $29.76 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: gold; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.18, quality 8.2/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.

About Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.

Idaho Strategic Resources centers its business on gold exploration and mining at the Golden Chest Mine and adjacent properties in Idaho, processing ore through a conventional flotation method into a bulk sulfide concentrate sold to smelters in South Korea and/or Asia. Continuous production depends on maintaining sufficient water rights and physical water availability for its mining and milling operations, and the company's future largely hinges on the success of ongoing exploration drilling at Golden Chest and nearby claims.

Idaho Strategic Resources sells its concentrate at prices tied to spot gold and other metal markets rather than long-term fixed contracts, so profitability rises and falls with global gold prices, currency exchange rates, and production costs for fuel, electricity, and labor. The company has not disclosed proven or probable reserves in the excerpted filing and instead frames its story around exploration success, meaning near-term cash flow depends on converting drilling results at Golden Chest into economically mineable material. Environmental obligations include managing mine-contact water, stormwater diversion, and tailings storage facilities, with climate change cited as a source of both risk (increased drought or heavy-rainfall events straining water management) and potential upside (warmer winters extending the drilling season). The company also flags going-concern-style liquidity risk, noting there is no assurance its initiatives to improve liquidity and financial position will succeed if internally generated cash flow proves insufficient for working capital needs.

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The clearest off-take concentration in Idaho Strategic Resources' filing is on the buy side of its supply chain rather than a single customer contract: the company's entire saleable product, a bulk sulfide flotation concentrate, ships to smelters in South Korea and/or Asia, and final payment is determined by the smelter's own sampling of the concentrate rather than the company's provisional mill samples, a structural pricing dependency the company has tried to narrow by increasing sample mass at the mill. That same filing flags tariffs and trade sanctions as a distinct risk to the exploration supplies and equipment it sources, meaning Idaho Strategic Resources carries cross-border exposure on both ends of its business — importing mining inputs and exporting concentrate for smelting — without naming a single alternate smelting counterparty.

See also: Basic Materials · Gold

From Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 14, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: gold
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.4
P/E (Fwd)43.9
Mkt Cap$549M
EV/EBITDA20.7
Profit Mgn43.3%
ROE26.5%
Rev Growth99.0%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditygold
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations will be significantly affected by changes in the market price of gold.'
  • MEDIUMCustomersmelters in South Korea and/or Asia
    10-K Item 1A: 'a bulk sulfide flotation concentrate that is sold to smelters in South Korea and/or Asia'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-08Item 4.01HIGH
    Auditor Assure CPA, LLC resigned June 3, 2026 after merging into Sadler, Gibb & Associates, LLC, which the Audit Committee approved as successor auditor. No disagreements and no adverse/qualified opinions were reported for FY2024-2025; change was firm-merger driven, not dispute-driven.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
2.7
Gap
4.0
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotSEC critical: Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.22Resistance $36.25

Price Targets

$26
$30
$38
A.Upside+10.2%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-14 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IDR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $29.76. At $34.72 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $29.76 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Commodity: gold; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.18, quality 8.2/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $38.25 (+10.2%), stop $25.90 (−34.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.25 (+10.2% upside). Target $38.25 (+10.2%), stop $25.90 (−34.1%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $25.90.

What are the risks of investing in IDR?

Concentration risk — Commodity: gold; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is IDR overvalued or undervalued?

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.4 (forward 43.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IDR?

5 analysts cover IDR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. do?Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of...

Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc., a resource-based company, engages in the exploration, development, and extraction of gold, silver, and base metal mineral resources in the North Idaho. The company was formerly known as New Jersey Mining Company and changed its name to Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. in December 2021. Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Coeur d'Alene, Idaho.

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