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HSTMHealthStream, Inc.Sell5.5·$28.41+0.46%
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HealthStream, Inc. (HSTM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Health Information Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away).

HealthStream, Inc. provides Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) based applications for healthcare organizations in the United States. The company offers hStream, a technology platform; CredentialStream, provides healthcare organizations with tools to support the provider lifecycle... Read more

$28.41-0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 24 Health Information Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.00%
IncomeYield0.47%Payout19.10%sustainable
Stop $26.59Target $28.21(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$32.00+12.6%2 analysts
$28.21our TP
$28.41price
$32.00mean
$24
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.4
P/E (Fwd)32.8
Mkt Cap$830M
EV/EBITDA18.5
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE5.6%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta0.45
Dividend0.47%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.3

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.9
Pe
2.9
Forward Pe
3.4
Peg Ratio
3.5
Ps
8.5
Forward P/E: 32.8xPEG: 3.31
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.70Resistance $28.79

Price Targets

$27
$28
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HSTM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.41 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $26.59. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the HSTM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.21 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $26.59. Stop-loss: $26.59.

What are the risks of investing in HSTM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 4.0): -1.5.

Is HSTM overvalued or undervalued?

HealthStream, Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.4 (forward 32.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HSTM?

11 analysts cover HSTM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $32.

What does HealthStream, Inc. do?HealthStream, Inc. provides Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) based applications for healthcare organizations in the United...

HealthStream, Inc. provides Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) based applications for healthcare organizations in the United States. The company offers hStream, a technology platform; CredentialStream, provides healthcare organizations with tools to support the provider lifecycle management from recruiting, application submission, verification of licensure and other credentials, privileging, appointments by credentialing committees, enrollment, network, management, onboarding, and performance evaluations of providers; ShiftWizard; and Competency Suite, AI/ML-driven clinical competency development system. It also provides applications for performance appraisal, competency management, disclosure management, clinical competency, assessment, development, simulation-based education, clinical rotation and onboarding management, quality management, and industry training. The company's solutions help healthcare organizations in meeting their ongoing learning, clinical development, credentialing, and scheduling needs. It serves the healthcare industry, including private, not-for-profit, and government entities, as well as pharmaceutical and medical device companies, and nursing schools and students. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

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