Waystar is a high-quality healthcare payments software company with a Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, exceptional free cash flow conversion at 260% of net income, and 82% analyst upside, but is currently experiencing a confirmed price downtrend with negative momentum that blocks entry.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Free Cash Flow Quality→Stable
- Massive Analyst Upside Potential↑Improving
- Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Waystar Holding Corp. (WAY) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Healthcare · Health Information Services
Wait for pullback to $23.20. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $25.05. Engine's entry $23.20 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Waystar provides AI-powered cloud software for healthcare payment workflow management, serving over 30,000 clients including 16 of 20 U.S. News Best Hospitals. Revenue is subscription/transaction-based, processing 7.5 billion healthcare transactions annually representing $2.4... Read more
Wait for pullback to $23.20. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $25.05. Engine's entry $23.20 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Waystar Holding Corp.
About Waystar Holding Corp.
Waystar processed more than 7.5 billion healthcare payment transactions in 2025—representing over $2.4 trillion in gross claims and spanning approximately 60% of U.S. patients and one in three hospital discharges—serving more than 30,000 clients, including 16 of the 20 U.S. News Best Hospitals. The company's cloud platform addresses the full payment workflow from pre-encounter eligibility verification through post-service revenue collection.
Waystar earns revenue through subscription fees and transaction-based pricing tied to the volume of healthcare payment processing, with clients paying as they scale their practices and serve more patients. The top 10 clients accounted for only 10.8% of total revenue in fiscal year 2025, with the client base spanning physician practices, clinics, surgical centers, laboratories, hospitals, and health systems. The platform integrates with more than 500 channel partners—including major EHR and practice management providers—which accelerates client adoption while raising switching costs once embedded. A Net Revenue Retention Rate of 112.0% in 2025 confirms that existing clients expand their Waystar usage over time, layering on solutions such as prior authorization, denial recovery, and clinical integrity modules. In 2024, following a cybersecurity incident at a competitor, more than 30,000 additional providers adopted Waystar solutions, with most signing contracts with initial two-to-three-year terms and one-year automatic renewals.
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The network effect embedded in Waystar's AltitudeAI engine may compound the company's competitive position over time. Each of the 7.5 billion annual transactions feeds real-time data into AI models deployed simultaneously across the entire client base—a structure the 10-K describes as a 'closed-loop' architecture where models continuously learn from every transaction. The filing disclosed an 85% win rate against competitors in situations where clients elected to switch vendors, measured across fiscal years 2023 through 2025. Approximately 50% of Waystar's solutions incorporate AI.
See also: Healthcare · Health Information Services
From Waystar Holding Corp.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-05Recent Developments — Waystar Holding Corp.
Latest news
- NEWS Waystar (WAY) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Earnings call transcript: Waystar posts strong Q2 2026 results, raises outlook - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS Waystar Holding (WAY) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Waystar CFO Steve Oreskovich to Remain as an Advisor Through June 15, 2027 - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
- NEWS Waystar Holding Corp. 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:WAY) 2026-07-29 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
Generated 2026-09-05T16:11:57Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomertop 10 clients11%10-K Item 1: 'our top 10 clients accounted for only 10.8% of our total revenue for such period'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $23.20. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $25.05. Engine's entry $23.20 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $29.97 (+19.6%), stop $21.03 (−19.1%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $29.97 (+19.6% upside). Target $29.97 (+19.6%), stop $21.03 (−19.1%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $21.03.
Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Waystar Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 37.4 (forward 13.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
28 analysts cover WAY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $33.
What does Waystar Holding Corp. do?Waystar provides AI-powered cloud software for healthcare payment workflow management, serving over 30,000 clients...
Waystar provides AI-powered cloud software for healthcare payment workflow management, serving over 30,000 clients including 16 of 20 U.S. News Best Hospitals. Revenue is subscription/transaction-based, processing 7.5 billion healthcare transactions annually representing $2.4 trillion in gross claims. The platform's network effects compound as transactions improve AI accuracy, creating switching costs through deep EHR integrations.