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Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $146.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Houlihan Lokey is a global independent investment bank providing M&A, capital markets, financial restructuring, and valuation advisory services through three segments: Corporate Finance, Financial Restructuring, and Financial and Valuation Advisory. Revenue is earned primarily... Read more

$146.81+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#22 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.84%(5y avg 1.72%)Payout38.59%sustainable
Stop $142.18Target $149.86(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$172.25+17.3%8 analysts
$149.86our TP
$146.81price
$172.25mean
$200

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $146.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Houlihan Lokey, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.4
P/E (Fwd)16.1
Mkt Cap$10.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn16.3%
ROE18.3%
Rev Growth-4.6%
Beta1.00
Dividend1.84%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV40%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicinternational operations29%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, we earned approximately 28.8% of our revenue from our international operations.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Value Rank
3.6
Quality Rank
5.2

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
7.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $146.58Resistance $162.38

Price Targets

$142
$150
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $146.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $149.86 (+2.1%), stop $142.18 (−3.3%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HLI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $149.86 (+2.1% upside). Target $149.86 (+2.1%), stop $142.18 (−3.3%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $142.18.

What are the risks of investing in HLI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HLI overvalued or undervalued?

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.4 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HLI?

14 analysts cover HLI with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $172.

What does Houlihan Lokey, Inc. do?Houlihan Lokey is a global independent investment bank providing M&A, capital markets, financial restructuring, and...

Houlihan Lokey is a global independent investment bank providing M&A, capital markets, financial restructuring, and valuation advisory services through three segments: Corporate Finance, Financial Restructuring, and Financial and Valuation Advisory. Revenue is earned primarily from contingent advisory fees tied to transaction closings, serving corporations, financial sponsors, and government agencies worldwide. As of March 31, 2025, it had 1,893 financial professionals across 35 offices globally.

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