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Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Houlihan Lokey is a global independent investment bank specializing in M&A, capital markets, financial restructurings, and financial advisory through offices in the Americas, Europe, Asia, Australia, and the Middle East. It earns advisory fees primarily from corporations,... Read more

$155.93+3.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#19 of 40 Capital Markets
Stop $147.80Target $160.97(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$174.50+11.9%8 analysts
$160.97our TP
$155.93price
$174.50mean
$200

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.0
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$10.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn16.9%
ROE20.5%
Rev Growth13.0%
Beta1.01
Dividend1.54%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$125-19.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations29%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In fiscal 2025, we earned approximately 28.8% of our revenue from our international operations.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-29Item 5.02LOW
    Director Robert A. Schriesheim notified the Company on Jan 24, 2026 that he does not intend to stand for reelection when his term expires at the 2027 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.6
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.6
Value Rank
3.5
Quality Rank
6.4
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $136.00Resistance $164.25

Price Targets

$148
$161
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $160.97 (+3.2%), stop $147.80 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HLI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $160.97 (+3.5% upside). Target $160.97 (+3.2%), stop $147.80 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $147.80.

What are the risks of investing in HLI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is HLI overvalued or undervalued?

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.0 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HLI?

14 analysts cover HLI with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $175.

What does Houlihan Lokey, Inc. do?Houlihan Lokey is a global independent investment bank specializing in M&A, capital markets, financial restructurings,...

Houlihan Lokey is a global independent investment bank specializing in M&A, capital markets, financial restructurings, and financial advisory through offices in the Americas, Europe, Asia, Australia, and the Middle East. It earns advisory fees primarily from corporations, financial sponsors, and government agencies, with 28.8% of fiscal 2025 revenue from international operations.

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