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GSLGlobal Ship Lease Inc NewBuy Wait5.5·$44.33
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Global Ship Lease combines deep value at 4.4 times forward earnings with high operational quality — net margins above 51% and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 — and improving estimate momentum, though thin headroom to the near-term target at spot and weak revenue growth are the key constraints on timing.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Quality Combination→Stable
  • High Quality Operating Profile→Stable
  • Earnings Consistency Estimate Revisions→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Global Ship Lease Inc New (GSL) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Wait for pullback to $42.04. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $44.33. Engine's entry $42.04 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

Global Ship Lease, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in owning and chartering out containerships under fixed-rate charters to container liner companies worldwide. As of March 12, 2026, it owned 71 mid-sized and smaller containerships, ranging from 2,207 to 11,040... Read more

$44.33-2.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#15 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.14%
IncomeYield5.67%(5y avg 6.42%)Payout23.41%sustainable
Entry $42.04(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $40.11Target $45.64(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$51.00+15.0%3 analysts
$45.64our TP
$44.33price
$51.00mean
$52

Wait for pullback to $42.04. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $44.33. Engine's entry $42.04 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-2.2% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.3
P/E (Fwd)5.0
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA3.8
Profit Mgn50.4%
ROE21.3%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta0.85
Dividend5.67%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV30%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.9
Revenue Growth
3.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.7
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
8.2
Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.23%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.40Resistance $46.57

Price Targets

$40
$42
$46
A.Upside-2.2%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %1%
Max %2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GSL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $42.04. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $44.33. Engine's entry $42.04 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-2.2% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $45.64 (+3.0%), stop $40.11 (−10.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.64 (-2.2% upside). Target $45.64 (+3.0%), stop $40.11 (−10.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $40.11.

What are the risks of investing in GSL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is GSL overvalued or undervalued?

Global Ship Lease Inc New trades at a P/E of 4.3 (forward 5.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GSL?

8 analysts cover GSL with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Global Ship Lease Inc New do?Global Ship Lease, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in owning and chartering out containerships under...

Global Ship Lease, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in owning and chartering out containerships under fixed-rate charters to container liner companies worldwide. As of March 12, 2026, it owned 71 mid-sized and smaller containerships, ranging from 2,207 to 11,040 (TEU), with an aggregate capacity of 423,003 TEU. Global Ship Lease, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Related stocks: HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.)
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