Value
8.3/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 10.0 |
| P/S | 9.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 4.5x
- ▸Attractively valued
GSL · Why this verdict
Why Global Ship Lease Inc New (GSL) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 7.5 |
| ROA | 5.9 |
| Gross margin | 9.8 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 7.8 |
| FCF quality | 5.0 |
| Moat | 7.1 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 51%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 65% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
- ▸High-quality business
Growth
1.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.0 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 6.4 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.8 |
| Price target | 7.9 |
| erm sentiment | 7.5 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (3.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 22%
- ▸Estimates rising as sentiment proxy (+6.2%)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
6.7/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.5 |
| quality rank | 9.1 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.3 |
| support resistance | 3.6 |
| 52w position | 8.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.7 |
| days to cover | 8.7 |
| volatility | 5.5 |
| put call | 8.1 |
| implied vol | 2.9 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 7.7 |
| debt equity | 8.6 |
- ▸High IV: 63%
- ▸Above max pain $15
Catalyst
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 9.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Estimates up 6.2% (30d)
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 624.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
V9 Gate blocked: R/R 0.5x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_A_DEEP_VALUE->V9:POOR_ASYMMETRY|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:6.1>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:49d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Industrials:0/10
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.5<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.46
Upside
+3.7%
Downside
8.1%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.4B<$5B
Investment implication
The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects the ASYMMETRY gate's 0.5<1.5@spot outcome against Value at 8.3 and asymmetric R:R of 0.46.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.3, Quality at 7.8, and Sentiment at 7.4; the weakest are Growth at 1.5, Insider at 5.0, and Technical at 5.2. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.46 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.