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GOROGoldgroup Mining Inc.Sell5.3·$3.52+1.15%
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Goldgroup Mining Inc. (GORO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.52: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Goldgroup Mining Inc. operates as a mining and metals company that focuses on gold production and exploration in Mexico. The company holds a 100% interest in the San Francisco project located in the State of Sonora. It also has a 100% interest in producing Cerro Prieto heap... Read more

$3.52+18.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#33 of 43 Gold
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield5.38%
Stop $3.27Target $4.16(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.52: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Goldgroup Mining Inc.

About Goldgroup Mining Inc.

Gold Resource Corporation produced 5,300 ounces of gold, 1,594,300 ounces of silver, 264 tonnes of copper, 1,192 tonnes of lead, and 3,613 tonnes of zinc in 2025, all from its Don David Gold Mine in Oaxaca, Mexico — the company's only revenue-producing property. Two customers bought 99% of that output, and revenue reached $99.8 million against a $6.5 million net loss for the year, with the non-producing Back Forty Project in Michigan still awaiting permits.

Gold Resource sells its doré and metal concentrates on a spot-price basis with no hedging program in place, leaving the company fully exposed to swings in gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc prices, which over the past five years have ranged from $1,629 to $4,449 per ounce for gold and from $17.77 to $74.84 per ounce for silver. The Don David Gold Mine draws on the Arista underground mine, the newer Switchback and Three Sisters vein systems, and limited surface work resuming at Alta Gracia, feeding a single processing facility roughly two kilometers from the Arista portal. The company has accrued $10.2 million for Mexican reclamation obligations and $0.1 million for drill-hole plugging in Michigan. Its Back Forty Project subsidiary, Aquila Resource Inc., owes contingent repayment to Osisko (now OR Royalties) under Gold and Silver Stream Agreements that advanced $37.2 million upfront against future Back Forty production, repayable with interest if the project defaults on its permitting and production milestones.

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Gold Resource's off-take book is about as concentrated as it gets: two customers bought 99% of DDGM's output in 2025, and while management says it believes it could find a replacement buyer on similar terms if either relationship ended, the 10-K itself frames any interruption as a risk that could materially disrupt sales. That customer concentration is now inherited by Goldgroup Mining, which completed its acquisition of Gold Resource on July 17, 2026, converting each GORO share into 0.3619 Goldgroup shares and folding the single-mine, two-customer revenue base into the combined company.

From Goldgroup Mining Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted September 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Dec 1, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)87.0
Mkt Cap$472M
EV/EBITDA90.9
Profit Mgn-46.6%
ROE
Rev Growth293.5%
Beta-0.40
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.6
Ma Position
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.2
Gross Margin
0.5
Current Ratio
2.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.5
Operating Margin
8.1
Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $2.83Resistance $4.24

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-01 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GORO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.52: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $3.27. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GORO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.16 (+18.3% upside). Prior stop was $3.27. Stop-loss: $3.27.

What are the risks of investing in GORO?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is GORO overvalued or undervalued?

Goldgroup Mining Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 87.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GORO?

8 analysts cover GORO with a consensus score of 4.1/5.

What does Goldgroup Mining Inc. do?Goldgroup Mining Inc. operates as a mining and metals company that focuses on gold production and exploration in...

Goldgroup Mining Inc. operates as a mining and metals company that focuses on gold production and exploration in Mexico. The company holds a 100% interest in the San Francisco project located in the State of Sonora. It also has a 100% interest in producing Cerro Prieto heap leach gold mine located in the State of Sonora. The company is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: DRD (DRDGOLD Limited) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) · CMCL (Caledonia Mining Corporation Pl) · GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) · MAKO (Mako Mining Corp)
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