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Global Partners LP (GLP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.38: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.75; Below-average business quality.

Global Partners LP engages in the purchasing, selling, gathering, blending, storing, and logistics of transporting gasoline and gasoline blendstocks, distillates, residual oil, renewable fuels, crude oil, and propane to wholesalers, retailers, and commercial customers. The... Read more

$47.38-0.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#39 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream
Stop $44.40Target $47.28(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$45.50-4.0%2 analysts
$47.28our TP
$47.38price
$45.50mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.38: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-18.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)18.9
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn0.4%
ROE14.1%
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta1.04
Dividend6.40%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.75bearish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
2.0
52w Position
7.6

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
0.5
Roa
2.5
Current Ratio
4.4
Roe
4.7
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 224% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.89Resistance $48.25

Price Targets

$44
$47
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.38: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $44.40. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.28 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $44.40. Stop-loss: $44.40.

What are the risks of investing in GLP?

Target reached (-18.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is GLP overvalued or undervalued?

Global Partners LP trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 18.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLP?

9 analysts cover GLP with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Global Partners LP do?Global Partners LP engages in the purchasing, selling, gathering, blending, storing, and logistics of transporting...

Global Partners LP engages in the purchasing, selling, gathering, blending, storing, and logistics of transporting gasoline and gasoline blendstocks, distillates, residual oil, renewable fuels, crude oil, and propane to wholesalers, retailers, and commercial customers. The company operates through three segments: Wholesale, Gasoline Distribution and Station Operations (GDSO), and Commercial. The Wholesale segment sells home heating oil, branded and unbranded gasoline and gasoline blendstocks, diesel, kerosene, and residual oil to retailers and wholesale distributors. This segment transports the products by railcars, barges, trucks and/or pipelines. The GDSO segment sells branded and unbranded gasoline to gasoline station operators and sub-jobbers; operates convenience stores and prepared food sales; and provides car wash, lottery, and ATM services, as well as leases gasoline stations. The Commercial segment sells and delivers unbranded gasoline, home heating oil, diesel, kerosene, residual oil, and bunker fuel to customers in the public sector; and sells custom blended fuels. The company is involved in the transportation of petroleum products and renewable fuels through rail from the mid-continent region of the United States and Canada. Global Partners LP was founded in 2005 and is based in Waltham, Massachusetts.

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