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GDYNGrid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.Hold5.4·$13.36
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Grid Dynamics is an IT services company with excellent cash conversion (465% FCF/NI) and a Piotroski 9/9, but the stock is overbought (RSI 93) and above its $10.61 analyst target, leaving negative reward-to-risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion↑Improving
  • Analyst Target Exceeded↓Deteriorating
  • Overbought Volume Surge↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. (GDYN) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away).

Grid Dynamics Holdings provides AI transformation and digital-engineering consulting services to Fortune 1000 enterprises, generating $411.8 million in revenue for 2025 across verticals led by retail, technology/media/telecom, and finance. The company bills through project-based... Read more

$13.36-20.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#31 of 44 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.40%
Stop $12.42Analyst target $10.61(reached)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst consensus$12.20-8.7%5 analysts
$13.36price
$12.20mean
$10
$15

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 122d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.

About Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.

Grid Dynamics Holdings generated $411.8 million in revenue for 2025, with its 10 largest clients accounting for 57.7% of that total and a single customer contributing 15.4%. The company employed 4,961 people across the Americas, Europe, and India as of December 31, 2025, and hyperscale cloud partnerships with Google Cloud, AWS, Microsoft Azure, and NVIDIA generated more than 19% of revenue.

Grid Dynamics earns revenue primarily from AI and digital-engineering consulting engagements for Fortune 1000 clients, billed under its Grid Dynamics AI-Native (GAIN) delivery model rather than long-term contracts -- the 10-K states clients may terminate or decline to renew agreements at any time. Revenue splits across industry verticals led by Retail (29.3%), Technology/Media/Telecom (26.1%), and Finance (24.4%), with smaller contributions from CPG/Manufacturing and Healthcare/Pharma. The company staffs projects with senior engineers rather than large pools of junior developers, delivering from a global footprint anchored by its Silicon Valley headquarters, nearshore operations in Mexico, Jamaica, and Argentina, and a growing India delivery center that is now one of its top-two countries by headcount. Grid Dynamics names Globant, Endava, Accenture, EPAM Systems, Capgemini, Cognizant, Infosys, Tata Consultancy Services, and Wipro among its competitors.

Show full overview

Grid Dynamics carries meaningful client concentration for a company of its size: its 10 largest clients produced 57.7% of 2025 revenue, up from 55.7% in 2024, and one customer alone accounted for 15.4%. Layered on top of that is a go-to-market dependency on hyperscale partners -- co-selling arrangements with Google Cloud, AWS, Microsoft Azure, and NVIDIA generated more than 19% of 2025 revenue -- meaning a meaningful share of new business flows through referral relationships the company does not control. Because clients can terminate engagements without long-term commitments, a pullback among the top 10 or a shift in hyperscaler co-selling priorities could move revenue quickly.

See also: Technology · Information Technology Services

From Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Mar 4, 2027122d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.63)
Positive momentum
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.2% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)148.4
P/E (Fwd)22.2
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA20.8
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE1.5%
Rev Growth9.7%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
Gap
3.0
52w Position
10.0
Extreme gap up (10.3%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 122d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
93 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.58Resistance $13.39

Price Targets

A.Upside-20.6%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.6% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-03-04 (122d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GDYN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $10.61 reached (−20.6%), stop $12.42 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GDYN stock price target?

Analyst target $10.61 reached (−20.6% from $13.36); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $10.61 reached (−20.6%), stop $12.42 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $12.42.

What are the risks of investing in GDYN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is GDYN overvalued or undervalued?

Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 148.4 (forward 22.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GDYN?

12 analysts cover GDYN with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. do?Grid Dynamics Holdings provides AI transformation and digital-engineering consulting services to Fortune 1000...

Grid Dynamics Holdings provides AI transformation and digital-engineering consulting services to Fortune 1000 enterprises, generating $411.8 million in revenue for 2025 across verticals led by retail, technology/media/telecom, and finance. The company bills through project-based consulting engagements with no long-term client commitments, and its 10 largest clients accounted for 57.7% of 2025 revenue while hyperscale partnerships with Google Cloud, AWS, and Microsoft Azure contributed over 19%.

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