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GABCGerman American Bancorp, Inc.Hold6.6·$45.38+0.91%
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German American Bancorp, Inc. (GABC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

German American Bancorp operates 94 banking offices in Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio, offering retail and commercial banking plus wealth management through German American Bank. Revenue comes from net interest income on consumer, commercial, and real estate loans, plus fee income... Read more

$45.38+0.2% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#11 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.67%(5y avg 2.74%)Payout32.42%sustainable
Stop $43.40Target $45.46(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$49.40+8.9%5 analysts
$45.46our TP
$45.38price
$49.40mean
$52

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About German American Bancorp, Inc.

About German American Bancorp, Inc.

German American Bancorp held $8.4 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, with 94 banking offices spanning Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio and 984 full-time-equivalent employees. Regulated by the Federal Reserve Board, the FDIC, and the Indiana Department of Financial Institutions, the company completed the Heartland BancCorp acquisition on February 1, 2025, adding $1.94 billion in assets and 20 branches in Columbus and Greater Cincinnati.

German American Bancorp earns revenue primarily through net interest income — the spread between interest on consumer, commercial, agricultural, and real estate loans versus interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Fee income flows from trust, investment advisory, brokerage, and retirement planning services through German American Investment Services, Inc., and from secondary-market sales of residential mortgage loans. The funding base relies on core deposits from the general public, supplemented by $36.3 million in brokered deposits at year-end 2025. With approximately 25% of deposits uninsured and uncollateralized, the company's liquidity profile carries sensitivity to depositor-confidence events similar to those that triggered accelerated outflows at peer institutions in 2023. German American competes with commercial banks, savings associations, credit unions, FinTech companies, and other nonbank intermediaries across its three-state market.

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German American Bank's 25% uninsured and uncollateralized deposit concentration as of December 31, 2025 is a material funding-stability risk explicitly flagged in the 10-K, which notes that uninsured depositors may withdraw funds rapidly in a stress scenario. At the same time, total consolidated assets could surpass $10 billion as early as 2027, which would transfer primary consumer-compliance examination from the FDIC to the CFPB — a threshold the company began preparing for in 2025 by engaging an external advisory firm to assess its compliance management system.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From German American Bancorp, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)11.3
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn36.6%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth42.3%
Beta0.59
Dividend2.67%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV98%elevated
Max Pain$50+10.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicIndiana, Kentucky, Ohio
    10-K Item 1A: 'throughout Indiana (central/southern), Kentucky (northern/central/western), and Ohio (central/southwest), from which substantially all of our customer base is drawn'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliouninsured deposits25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 25% of our deposits were uninsured and uncollateralized'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.92Resistance $46.39

Price Targets

$43
$45
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GABC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $45.46 (+0.2%), stop $43.40 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GABC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.46 (+0.2% upside). Target $45.46 (+0.2%), stop $43.40 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $43.40.

What are the risks of investing in GABC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Is GABC overvalued or undervalued?

German American Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GABC?

11 analysts cover GABC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $49.

What does German American Bancorp, Inc. do?German American Bancorp operates 94 banking offices in Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio, offering retail and commercial...

German American Bancorp operates 94 banking offices in Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio, offering retail and commercial banking plus wealth management through German American Bank. Revenue comes from net interest income on consumer, commercial, and real estate loans, plus fee income from trust and brokerage services. The company had $8.4 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, following the February 2025 acquisition of Heartland BancCorp.

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