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FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

FS KKR Capital Corp. is an externally managed BDC with approximately $13.7B in total assets, investing primarily in senior secured debt of private U.S. middle market companies with EBITDA of $50M-$150M. Managed by FS/KKR Advisor LLC (jointly operated by KKR Credit and a Future... Read more

$10.84+3.5% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#107 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $10.12Target $11.19(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$12.30+13.5%10 analysts
$11.19our TP
$10.84price
$12.30mean
$10
$17

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)267.0
P/E (Fwd)6.6
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.7%
ROE0.2%
Rev Growth-14.5%
Beta0.90
Dividend24.16%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$3-76.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -14.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -14%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
0.9
Value Rank
4.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.9
Support Resistance
4.1
Bollinger
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.9
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
6.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.96Resistance $11.42

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.1% upside)
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-10 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FSK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.84 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $10.12. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

What is the FSK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.19 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $10.12. Stop-loss: $10.12.

What are the risks of investing in FSK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is FSK overvalued or undervalued?

FS KKR Capital Corp. trades at a P/E of 267.0 (forward 6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FSK?

15 analysts cover FSK with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $12.

What does FS KKR Capital Corp. do?FS KKR Capital Corp. is an externally managed BDC with approximately $13.7B in total assets, investing primarily in...

FS KKR Capital Corp. is an externally managed BDC with approximately $13.7B in total assets, investing primarily in senior secured debt of private U.S. middle market companies with EBITDA of $50M-$150M. Managed by FS/KKR Advisor LLC (jointly operated by KKR Credit and a Future Standard affiliate), generating income from interest and fees on leveraged loans and bonds.

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