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FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

FS KKR Capital Corp. is an externally managed BDC with ~$13.7B total assets, investing primarily in senior secured debt of private U.S. middle-market companies (EBITDA $50M–$150M). Managed by FS/KKR Advisor, revenue comes from interest income on loans and advisory fees;... Read more

$10.65+8.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#79 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.79%
IncomeYield21.72%(5y avg 14.07%)Payout7000.00%at-risk
Stop $10.01Target $11.50(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$11.50+8.0%10 analysts
$11.50our TP
$10.65price
$11.50mean
$10
$15

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — FS KKR Capital Corp.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-38.7%
ROE-9.3%
Rev Growth-24.0%
Beta0.91
Dividend21.72%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C7.00bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$8-29.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Growth Rank
0.5
Value Rank
8.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 2172.0%
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.32Resistance $11.73

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+8.0%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FSK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $10.01. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FSK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.50 (+8.6% upside). Prior stop was $10.01. Stop-loss: $10.01.

What are the risks of investing in FSK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is FSK overvalued or undervalued?

FS KKR Capital Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FSK?

15 analysts cover FSK with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $12.

What does FS KKR Capital Corp. do?FS KKR Capital Corp. is an externally managed BDC with ~$13.7B total assets, investing primarily in senior secured debt...

FS KKR Capital Corp. is an externally managed BDC with ~$13.7B total assets, investing primarily in senior secured debt of private U.S. middle-market companies (EBITDA $50M–$150M). Managed by FS/KKR Advisor, revenue comes from interest income on loans and advisory fees; portfolio is mainly first and second lien loans to private companies.

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