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FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.Sell5.7·$30.77
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

FLEX LNG is a high-quality cash-generating business — free cash flow runs at 133% of net income and margins are strong — but the stock has already reached or exceeded analyst price targets, revenue is declining, and three consecutive earnings misses have eroded confidence; the reward/risk is unfavorable at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • Revenue Decline Pressure→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.77 — A.R:R is negative (-5.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5.

FLEX LNG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the seaborne transportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG) worldwide. As of December 31, 2025, its fleet consists of 13 LNG carriers in operation. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

$30.77-27.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#36 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.52%
IncomeYield9.66%(5y avg 10.01%)Payout157.89%at-risk
Stop $29.51Target $32.32(resistance)A.R:R -5.6:1
Analyst target$26.13-15.1%4 analysts
$32.32our TP
$30.77price
$26.13mean
$25
$32

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.77 — A.R:R is negative (-5.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25

Recent Developments — FLEX LNG Ltd.

Generated 2026-09-26T04:01:58Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 27, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.4
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn28.5%
ROE14.0%
Rev Growth24.2%
Beta0.16
Dividend9.66%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV41%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
2.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.1
Growth Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
4.5
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -5.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.42Resistance $32.98

Price Targets

$30
$32
A.Upside-27.8%
A.R:R-5.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-27.8% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-27 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLNG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.77 — A.R:R is negative (-5.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.51. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.32 (-27.8% upside). Prior stop was $29.51. Stop-loss: $29.51.

What are the risks of investing in FLNG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is FLNG overvalued or undervalued?

FLEX LNG Ltd. trades at a P/E of 16.4 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLNG?

13 analysts cover FLNG with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $26.

What does FLEX LNG Ltd. do?FLEX LNG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the seaborne transportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG)...

FLEX LNG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the seaborne transportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG) worldwide. As of December 31, 2025, its fleet consists of 13 LNG carriers in operation. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: TRMD (TORM plc) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
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