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FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.Buy Wait4.5·$30.80+1.62%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

FLEX LNG is a high-quality cash-generating business — free cash flow runs at 133% of net income and margins are strong — but the stock has already reached or exceeded analyst price targets, revenue is declining, and three consecutive earnings misses have eroded confidence; the reward/risk is unfavorable at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Revenue Decline PressureStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitShortHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 2 days (2026-08-19). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $30.30. BUY gates pass at $30.80, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $30.30 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

FLEX LNG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the seaborne transportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG) worldwide. As of December 31, 2025, its fleet consists of 13 LNG carriers in operation. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

$30.80-26.9% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#46 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.05%
IncomeYield9.74%(5y avg 10.01%)Payout215.83%at-risk
Entry $30.30(50-day MA)Stop $28.76Target $35.42(default +15%)A.R:R -4.1:1
Analyst target$25.88-16.0%5 analysts
$35.42our TP
$30.80price
$25.88mean
$24
$35

Wait for pullback to $30.30. BUY gates pass at $30.80, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $30.30 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16

Recent Developments — FLEX LNG Ltd.

Generated 2026-08-16T17:12:03Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.5/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.2
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn22.3%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth-9.0%
Beta0.16
Dividend9.74%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.3
Earnings Growth
2.8
Declining revenue: -9%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
3.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
2.2
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MEarnings in 2 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -4.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.77Resistance $31.56

Price Targets

$29
$30
$35
A.Upside-26.9%
A.R:R-4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.9% upside)
! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLNG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $30.30. BUY gates pass at $30.80, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $30.30 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $35.42 (+15.0%), stop $28.76 (−7.1%), A.R:R -4.1:1. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.

What is the FLNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.42 (-26.9% upside). Target $35.42 (+15.0%), stop $28.76 (−7.1%), A.R:R -4.1:1. Stop-loss: $28.76.

What are the risks of investing in FLNG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.5/10.

Is FLNG overvalued or undervalued?

FLEX LNG Ltd. trades at a P/E of 22.2 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FLNG?

13 analysts cover FLNG with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $26.

What does FLEX LNG Ltd. do?FLEX LNG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the seaborne transportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG)...

FLEX LNG Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the seaborne transportation of liquefied natural gas (LNG) worldwide. As of December 31, 2025, its fleet consists of 13 LNG carriers in operation. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd)
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