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Flagstar Bank, N.A. (FLG) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.27: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Flagstar Bank is a national bank with $87.5B in assets headquartered in Hicksville, NY, operating ~340 branches across nine states with a loan portfolio heavily concentrated in multi-family and commercial real estate in the New York City metro area. Revenue comes from net... Read more

$13.27+6.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#65 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.30%(5y avg 5.82%)Payout20.99%sustainable
Stop $12.70Target $14.12(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$15.69+18.2%16 analysts
$14.12our TP
$13.27price
$15.69mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.27: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Flagstar Bank, N.A.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: multi-family loans (47.7%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-2.8%
ROE-0.7%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta1.03
Dividend0.30%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV36%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliomulti-family loans48%
    10-K Item 1A: '$29.0 billion or 47.7 percent of our total loans and leases held for investment portfolio consisted of multi-family loans'
  • HIGHGeographicNew York State multi-family55%
    10-K Item 1A: '$15.8 billion or 55 percent of our total multi-family loan portfolio was secured by properties in New York State'
  • LOWloan_portfoliouninsured deposits20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 20 percent of our total deposits were not FDIC-insured or collateralized by securities or letters of credit'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'The Bank is a national banking association, subject to federal regulation and oversight by the Office of Comptroller of the Currency (the “OCC”)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    Alessandro DiNello (director) not standing for re-election at June 2026 Annual Meeting. Eli H. Miller appointed to Board effective April 1, 2026 to fill resulting vacancy. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
4.8
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
7.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.09Resistance $14.92

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside+6.4%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.27: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $12.70. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.12 (+6.4% upside). Prior stop was $12.70. Stop-loss: $12.70.

What are the risks of investing in FLG?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: multi-family loans (47.7%); Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is FLG overvalued or undervalued?

Flagstar Bank, N.A. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLG?

22 analysts cover FLG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Flagstar Bank, N.A. do?Flagstar Bank is a national bank with $87.5B in assets headquartered in Hicksville, NY, operating ~340 branches across...

Flagstar Bank is a national bank with $87.5B in assets headquartered in Hicksville, NY, operating ~340 branches across nine states with a loan portfolio heavily concentrated in multi-family and commercial real estate in the New York City metro area. Revenue comes from net interest income on loans and wholesale funding channels including $11.2B in FHLB borrowings.

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