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Flagstar Bank, N.A. (FLG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Flagstar Bank, National Association is a $87.5 billion-asset national bank headquartered in Hicksville, New York, operating approximately 340 locations across nine states with concentration in the New York/New Jersey metro region and upper Midwest. It primarily originates... Read more

$13.92+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#94 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $13.11Target $14.03(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$15.59+12.0%16 analysts
$14.03our TP
$13.92price
$15.59mean
$13
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%)
Target reached (1.2% upside)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-2.8%
ROE-0.7%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta1.02
Dividend0.29%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV50%elevated
Max Pain$25+79.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliomulti-family loans48%
    10-K Item 1A: '$29.0 billion or 47.7 percent of our total loans and leases held for investment portfolio consisted of multi-family loans'
  • HIGHGeographicNew York State multi-family55%
    10-K Item 1A: '$15.8 billion or 55 percent of our total multi-family loan portfolio was secured by properties in New York State'
  • LOWPropertyoffice CRE loans21%
    10-K Item 1A: '$2.0 billion, or 21.0 percent of our CRE loan portfolio was secured by office buildings'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    Alessandro DiNello will not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting (June 9, 2026). Eli H. Miller appointed to the Board effective April 1, 2026, filling the resulting vacancy. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
7.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.10Resistance $14.92

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.11. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.03 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $13.11. Stop-loss: $13.11.

What are the risks of investing in FLG?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%); Target reached (1.2% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is FLG overvalued or undervalued?

Flagstar Bank, N.A. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLG?

22 analysts cover FLG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Flagstar Bank, N.A. do?Flagstar Bank, National Association is a $87.5 billion-asset national bank headquartered in Hicksville, New York,...

Flagstar Bank, National Association is a $87.5 billion-asset national bank headquartered in Hicksville, New York, operating approximately 340 locations across nine states with concentration in the New York/New Jersey metro region and upper Midwest. It primarily originates multi-family and commercial real estate loans concentrated in New York City, and commercial and industrial loans nationally, funded by retail deposits and wholesale borrowings.

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