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FLGFlagstar Bank, N.A.Sell6.0·$14.93-0.93%
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Flagstar Bank, N.A. (FLG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.93: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Flagstar Bank, N.A. holds $87.5 billion in assets and $61.0 billion in loans across roughly 340 branches in nine states, regulated by the OCC as a national banking association. Multi-family loans (47.7% of the loan portfolio) and CRE (15.3%) dominate, with multi-family... Read more

$14.93+0.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#75 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.27%(5y avg 5.73%)Payout20.99%sustainable
Stop $14.19Target $15.06(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$15.72+5.3%16 analysts
$15.06our TP
$14.93price
$15.72mean
$13
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.93: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%)
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC primary regulator
Target reached (-5.2% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$6.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-2.8%
ROE-0.7%
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta1.03
Dividend0.27%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$12-19.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliomulti-family loans48%
    10-K Item 1A: '$29.0 billion or 47.7 percent of our total loans and leases held for investment portfolio consisted of multi-family loans'
  • LOWloan_portfolioCRE loans15%
    10-K Item 1A: '$9.3 billion or 15.3 percent consisted of CRE loans'
  • HIGHGeographicNew York State multi-family55%
    10-K Item 1A: '$15.8 billion or 55 percent of our total multi-family loan portfolio was secured by properties in New York State'
  • LOWloan_portfoliouninsured deposits20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 20 percent of our total deposits were not FDIC-insured or collateralized by securities or letters of credit'
  • HIGHregulatoryOCC primary regulator
    10-K Item 1: 'The Bank is a national banking association, subject to federal regulation and oversight by the Office of Comptroller of the Currency (the "OCC")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-18Item 5.02LOW
    Effective May 18, 2026, Flagstar Bank restructured senior leadership: CEO Joseph Otting relinquished the President title while continuing as Executive Chairman and CEO; Richard Raffetto and Lee Smith named Co-Presidents. No departure; reason cited as supporting long-term strategic plan and succession planning.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    Director Alessandro DiNello notified Flagstar Bank on March 25, 2026 he would not stand for re-election at the 2026 Annual Meeting; no disagreement cited. Eli H. Miller appointed to the Board effective April 1, 2026 to fill the resulting vacancy.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
4.8
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
7.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.08Resistance $15.37

Price Targets

$14
$15
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.93: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.19. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.06 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $14.19. Stop-loss: $14.19.

What are the risks of investing in FLG?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York State multi-family (55.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC primary regulator; Target reached (-5.2% upside).

Is FLG overvalued or undervalued?

Flagstar Bank, N.A. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLG?

22 analysts cover FLG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Flagstar Bank, N.A. do?Flagstar Bank, N.A. holds $87.5 billion in assets and $61.0 billion in loans across roughly 340 branches in nine...

Flagstar Bank, N.A. holds $87.5 billion in assets and $61.0 billion in loans across roughly 340 branches in nine states, regulated by the OCC as a national banking association. Multi-family loans (47.7% of the loan portfolio) and CRE (15.3%) dominate, with multi-family collateral concentrated in New York City; net interest income is the primary revenue driver, with a CET1 capital ratio of 12.83% at December 31, 2025.

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