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National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.75 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

National Beverage Corp. manufactures and markets sparkling waters (LaCroix, its most significant brand), energy drinks (Rip It), juices (Everfresh, Clear Fruit), and carbonated soft drinks (Shasta, Faygo) primarily in the United States, celebrating its 40th anniversary in 2025.... Read more

$33.75+3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Stop $32.23Target $34.86(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$35.00+3.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.75 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.9
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn15.7%
ROE37.9%
Rev Growth-0.9%
Beta0.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Earnings Growth
3.0
Declining revenue: -1%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.7
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
5.6
Quality Rank
7.3
GatesA.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.78Resistance $35.57

Price Targets

$32
$35
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-01 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIZZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.75 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $32.23. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIZZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.86 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $32.23. Stop-loss: $32.23.

What are the risks of investing in FIZZ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is FIZZ overvalued or undervalued?

National Beverage Corp. trades at a P/E of 16.9 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIZZ?

7 analysts cover FIZZ with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $35.

What does National Beverage Corp. do?National Beverage Corp. manufactures and markets sparkling waters (LaCroix, its most significant brand), energy drinks...

National Beverage Corp. manufactures and markets sparkling waters (LaCroix, its most significant brand), energy drinks (Rip It), juices (Everfresh, Clear Fruit), and carbonated soft drinks (Shasta, Faygo) primarily in the United States, celebrating its 40th anniversary in 2025. Revenue comes from retail sales through mass-merchandisers, club stores, drug stores, and supermarkets using an innovation-driven, shelf-marketing model.

Related stocks: COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.) · CELH (Celsius Holdings, Inc.) · COCO (The Vita Coco Company, Inc.) · AKO-A (Embotelladora Andina S.A.) · PRMB (Primo Brands Corporation)