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National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.70 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

National Beverage Corp. is a US beverage company producing sparkling waters (LaCroix, its most significant brand and the #1 premium domestic sparkling water), energy drinks (Rip It), juices (Everfresh, Mr. Pure), and carbonated soft drinks (Shasta, Faygo) at 12 production... Read more

$34.70+1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#11 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.70%
Stop $32.76Target $35.16(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$35.00+0.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.70 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn15.7%
ROE37.9%
Rev Growth-0.9%
Beta0.71
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C24.00bearish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Earnings Growth
3.0
Declining revenue: -1%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.7
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.1
Quality Rank
7.3
GatesA.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.87Resistance $35.88

Price Targets

$33
$35
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-01 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIZZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.70 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $32.76. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIZZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.16 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $32.76. Stop-loss: $32.76.

What are the risks of investing in FIZZ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is FIZZ overvalued or undervalued?

National Beverage Corp. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIZZ?

7 analysts cover FIZZ with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $35.

What does National Beverage Corp. do?National Beverage Corp. is a US beverage company producing sparkling waters (LaCroix, its most significant brand and...

National Beverage Corp. is a US beverage company producing sparkling waters (LaCroix, its most significant brand and the #1 premium domestic sparkling water), energy drinks (Rip It), juices (Everfresh, Mr. Pure), and carbonated soft drinks (Shasta, Faygo) at 12 production facilities nationwide. Distribution targets national retailers, convenience stores, and food service channels entirely within the US.

Related stocks: AKO-A (Embotelladora Andina S.A.) · CELH (Celsius Holdings, Inc.) · COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.) · COCO (The Vita Coco Company, Inc.) · AKO-B (Embotelladora Andina S.A.)