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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Fiserv offers a forward P/E of 5.4x with approximately 31% analyst-implied upside to $63.00, but a Piotroski F-Score of 0 out of 9, a confirmed death-cross downtrend with volume-surge distribution, and heavy geographic concentration in the U.S. and Canada represent layered structural and technical risks that outweigh the valuation discount in the near term.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor Breach Piotroski Zero→Stable
  • Death Cross Institutional Distribution↑Improving
  • Deep Value Despite Quality Concerns↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Fiserv, Inc. (FISV) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Unknown · Unknown

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.48: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Fiserv provides payments and financial technology to merchants, banks, credit unions, and other institutions through Merchant Solutions (Clover POS, merchant acquiring) and Financial Solutions (debit/credit processing, core banking) segments. The company generated $21.2 billion... Read more

$46.48+16.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10Peer score 3.8/10 · 12 Unknown
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $43.78Target $54.31(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$60.35+29.8%26 analysts
$54.31our TP
$46.48price
$60.35mean
$106

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.48: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26

Recent Developments — Fiserv, Inc.

Generated 2026-09-26T07:07:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. and Canada (84.0%)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.8
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$24.5B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn—
ROE—
Rev Growth—
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts43

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Options Flow

P/C0.82neutral
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicU.S. and Canada84%
    10-K Item 1: 'U.S. and Canada| | 84 | %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
26 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $45.13Resistance $53.99

Price Targets

$44
$54
A.Upside+16.8%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FISV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $46.48: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $43.78. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FISV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.31 (+16.8% upside). Prior stop was $43.78. Stop-loss: $43.78.

What are the risks of investing in FISV?

Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. and Canada (84.0%); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is FISV overvalued or undervalued?

Fiserv, Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FISV?

43 analysts cover FISV with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Fiserv, Inc. do?Fiserv provides payments and financial technology to merchants, banks, credit unions, and other institutions through...

Fiserv provides payments and financial technology to merchants, banks, credit unions, and other institutions through Merchant Solutions (Clover POS, merchant acquiring) and Financial Solutions (debit/credit processing, core banking) segments. The company generated $21.2 billion in total revenue in 2025, with 84% from U.S. and Canadian clients and 80% of total from multi-year processing and services contracts.

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