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First Interstate BancSystem, In (FIBK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Tenant: commercial real estate and commercial loans (69.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

First Interstate BancSystem is a community banking holding company with $26.6B in assets, 290 banking offices across 12 states in the Mountain West and Midwest. It operates through a single community banking segment. In 2025 it initiated a strategic reorganization, divesting... Read more

$35.52-1.2% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $33.98Target $35.11(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$36.38+2.4%8 analysts
$35.11our TP
$35.52price
$36.38mean
$30
$41

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Tenant: commercial real estate and commercial loans (69.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: commercial real estate and commercial loans (69.1%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn29.3%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth34.4%
Beta0.75
Dividend5.46%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$20-43.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHTenantcommercial real estate and commercial loans69%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we had $10.5 billion of commercial loans, including $8.1 billion of commercial real estate loans, representing approximately 69.1% of our loans held for investment portfolio'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
1.0
52w Position
8.3
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.80Resistance $35.83

Price Targets

$34
$35
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIBK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Tenant: commercial real estate and commercial loans (69.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $35.11 (-1.2%), stop $33.98 (−4.5%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.11 (-1.2% upside). Target $35.11 (-1.2%), stop $33.98 (−4.5%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $33.98.

What are the risks of investing in FIBK?

Concentration risk — Tenant: commercial real estate and commercial loans (69.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is FIBK overvalued or undervalued?

First Interstate BancSystem, In trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FIBK?

14 analysts cover FIBK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $36.

What does First Interstate BancSystem, In do?First Interstate BancSystem is a community banking holding company with $26.6B in assets, 290 banking offices across 12...

First Interstate BancSystem is a community banking holding company with $26.6B in assets, 290 banking offices across 12 states in the Mountain West and Midwest. It operates through a single community banking segment. In 2025 it initiated a strategic reorganization, divesting Arizona/Kansas and refocusing on high-density markets with relationship-driven organic growth.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · BFC (Bank First Corporation) · VLYPP (Valley National Bancorp - 6.25%) · FFBC (First Financial Bancorp.)