Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $223.16 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (95.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).
Ferguson is the largest distributor of plumbing, HVAC, pipes/valves/fittings, and water/wastewater products in North America, operating 1,746 branches with ~35,000 associates. The US segment contributes 95% of net sales across all 50 states; the Canada segment contributes 5%... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $223.16 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (95.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
Latest news
- Barclays Maintains Overweight on Ferguson Enterprises, Raises Price Target to $297 — benzinga May 8, 2026 positive
- RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Ferguson Enterprises, Raises Price Target to $281 — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Ferguson Enterprises, Raises Price Target to $285 — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- Weak US Housing Demand Hits Ferguson's Revenue Growth — benzinga May 5, 2026 negative
- Contractor Commerce Forms Alliance With Ferguson Over Upgrade Of Contracting Sector — benzinga May 5, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUnited States95%10-K Item 1: 'The United States segment contributed 95% of net sales in each of fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $223.16 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (95.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $210.00. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $256.42 (+14.7% upside). Prior stop was $210.00. Stop-loss: $210.00.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (95.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover FERG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $285.
What does Ferguson Enterprises Inc. do?Ferguson is the largest distributor of plumbing, HVAC, pipes/valves/fittings, and water/wastewater products in North...
Ferguson is the largest distributor of plumbing, HVAC, pipes/valves/fittings, and water/wastewater products in North America, operating 1,746 branches with ~35,000 associates. The US segment contributes 95% of net sales across all 50 states; the Canada segment contributes 5% under the Wolseley brand. No single customer accounts for more than 1% of net sales.