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First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1998.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

First Citizens BancShares is a bank holding company with $229.70B in assets, operating through First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company with branches predominantly in the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and Western U.S. Segments include General Bank, Commercial Bank, and Rail. The... Read more

$1998.81+2.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#84 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $1898.83Target $2053.61(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$2212.92+10.7%12 analysts
$2053.61our TP
$1998.81price
$2212.92mean
$2475

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1998.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$22.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.7%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.65
Dividend0.43%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$2600+30.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1857.93Resistance $2095.52

Price Targets

$1899
$2054
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCNCA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1998.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $2053.61 (+2.7%), stop $1898.83 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCNCA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2053.61 (+2.7% upside). Target $2053.61 (+2.7%), stop $1898.83 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $1898.83.

What are the risks of investing in FCNCA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is FCNCA overvalued or undervalued?

First Citizens BancShares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FCNCA?

22 analysts cover FCNCA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $2213.

What does First Citizens BancShares, Inc. do?First Citizens BancShares is a bank holding company with $229.70B in assets, operating through First-Citizens Bank &...

First Citizens BancShares is a bank holding company with $229.70B in assets, operating through First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company with branches predominantly in the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and Western U.S. Segments include General Bank, Commercial Bank, and Rail. The Holding family beneficially controls over 50% of voting power.

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