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First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1942.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

First Citizens BancShares is a top-20 U.S. bank holding company with approximately $220 billion in assets following the 2023 acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank's assets, operating through First Citizens Bank and SVB commercial banking. Revenue comes from net interest income,... Read more

$1942.36+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#79 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.43%(5y avg 0.30%)Payout4.67%sustainable
Stop $1850.58Target $2053.61(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$2212.92+13.9%12 analysts
$2053.61our TP
$1942.36price
$2212.92mean
$2475

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1942.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — First Citizens BancShares, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.2
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$22.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.7%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.63
Dividend0.43%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.32bearish
IV33%normal
Max Pain$1620-16.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $1889.00Resistance $2095.52

Price Targets

$1851
$2054
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCNCA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1942.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $2053.61 (+5.7%), stop $1850.58 (−5.0%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCNCA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2053.61 (+5.7% upside). Target $2053.61 (+5.7%), stop $1850.58 (−5.0%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $1850.58.

What are the risks of investing in FCNCA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is FCNCA overvalued or undervalued?

First Citizens BancShares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.2 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FCNCA?

21 analysts cover FCNCA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $2213.

What does First Citizens BancShares, Inc. do?First Citizens BancShares is a top-20 U.S. bank holding company with approximately $220 billion in assets following the...

First Citizens BancShares is a top-20 U.S. bank holding company with approximately $220 billion in assets following the 2023 acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank's assets, operating through First Citizens Bank and SVB commercial banking. Revenue comes from net interest income, fee-based services, and capital markets activity across commercial, retail, and wealth management segments.

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