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First BanCorp. New (FBP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

First BanCorp. is a Puerto Rico-chartered financial holding company with 19.1 billion in total assets as of December 31, 2025, operating FirstBank through 57 Puerto Rico branches, 8 USVI and BVI branches, and 8 Florida branches. Revenue derives from commercial and consumer... Read more

$24.25-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#63 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $23.04Target $24.02(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$25.67+5.8%6 analysts
$24.02our TP
$24.25price
$25.67mean
$27

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.6
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn38.2%
ROE19.0%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.83
Dividend3.19%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV110%elevated
Max Pain$20-17.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPuerto Rico
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our business activities and credit exposure is concentrated in Puerto Rico, which has faced prolonged economic and fiscal challenges.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Orlando Berges announced retirement as EVP and CFO effective June 30, 2026 (serving since 2009). Said Ortiz appointed new CFO effective July 1, 2026; currently SVP and Chief Accounting Officer. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.17Resistance $24.51

Price Targets

$23
$24
A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FBP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $24.02 (-0.9%), stop $23.04 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FBP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.02 (-1.0% upside). Target $24.02 (-0.9%), stop $23.04 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $23.04.

What are the risks of investing in FBP?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away).

Is FBP overvalued or undervalued?

First BanCorp. New trades at a P/E of 10.6 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FBP?

11 analysts cover FBP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $26.

What does First BanCorp. New do?First BanCorp. is a Puerto Rico-chartered financial holding company with 19.1 billion in total assets as of December...

First BanCorp. is a Puerto Rico-chartered financial holding company with 19.1 billion in total assets as of December 31, 2025, operating FirstBank through 57 Puerto Rico branches, 8 USVI and BVI branches, and 8 Florida branches. Revenue derives from commercial and consumer banking, mortgage banking, auto financing, and insurance agency services primarily concentrated in Puerto Rico.

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