The bank has compiled a perfect four-quarter beat streak with average earnings surprises exceeding 14% and posts best-in-class margins of 38%, yet the stock has advanced to within less than 1% of its resistance target, producing a risk/reward of 0.11-to-1 that does not support new positions; the quality case is compelling, but the entry geometry is not.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Best In Class Margins→Stable
- Price Target Exhaustion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
First BanCorp. New (FBP) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away).
First BanCorp. operates FirstBank, a Puerto Rico-chartered commercial bank, with 57 branches in Puerto Rico, 8 in the U.S. Virgin Islands and British Virgin Islands, and 8 in Florida, regulated by OCIF and the FDIC. At December 31, 2025, total assets reached $19.1 billion, with... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $26.50 has reached target $26.40. No upside to wait for. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — First BanCorp. New
Latest news
- NEWS First Bancorp stock hits 52-week high at 24.62 USD - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS First Bancorp stock hits 52-week high at 24.62 USD By Investing.com - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK positive
- NEWS Why First BanCorp Shares Are Sinking So Sharply - TipRanks — TipRanks negative
- NEWS First BanCorp Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend on Common Stock - Business Wire — Business Wire positive
- NEWS First BanCorp’s (NYSE:FBP) Q1 CY2026 Sales Top Estimates - TradingView — TradingView positive
Generated 2026-07-07T09:31:42Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicPuerto Rico10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our business activities and credit exposure is concentrated in Puerto Rico, which has faced prolonged economic and fiscal challenges.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-12Item 5.02LOWOn May 6, 2026, First BanCorp stockholders approved the 2026 Omnibus Incentive Plan authorizing 5,000,000 shares for stock-based awards to officers, employees, and directors, replacing the 2016 plan. Board-approved March 19, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $26.50 has reached target $26.40. No upside to wait for. Target $26.40 (-0.4%), stop $23.50 (−12.8%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $26.40 (+7.7% upside). Target $26.40 (-0.4%), stop $23.50 (−12.8%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $23.50.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away).
First BanCorp. New trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
10 analysts cover FBP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $27.
What does First BanCorp. New do?First BanCorp. operates FirstBank, a Puerto Rico-chartered commercial bank, with 57 branches in Puerto Rico, 8 in the...
First BanCorp. operates FirstBank, a Puerto Rico-chartered commercial bank, with 57 branches in Puerto Rico, 8 in the U.S. Virgin Islands and British Virgin Islands, and 8 in Florida, regulated by OCIF and the FDIC. At December 31, 2025, total assets reached $19.1 billion, with $13.1 billion in loans and $16.7 billion in deposits across six segments: mortgage banking, retail, commercial, treasury, U.S. operations, and Virgin Islands operations.