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FBNCFirst BancorpHold6.0·$60.90+0.25%
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First Bancorp (FBNC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

First Bancorp, the fourth-largest bank holding company headquartered in North Carolina, provides commercial and consumer banking through 113 branches in North Carolina and South Carolina. At December 31, 2025, it held $12.7 billion in assets, $8.7 billion in loans, and $10.7... Read more

$60.90+0.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#72 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.58%(5y avg 2.16%)Payout31.74%sustainable
Stop $57.84Target $61.20(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$66.35+8.9%5 analysts
$61.20our TP
$60.90price
$66.35mean
$68

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About First Bancorp

About First Bancorp

First Bancorp's total consolidated assets reached $12.7 billion at December 31, 2025, with $8.7 billion in loans and $10.7 billion in deposits, placing it as the fourth-largest commercial bank holding company headquartered in North Carolina. The Bank, a state-chartered institution supervised by the Federal Reserve and the North Carolina Commissioner of Banks, operates 100 branches in North Carolina and 13 branches in South Carolina, serving retail and commercial customers.

Net interest income on a diversified commercial and retail loan portfolio is the primary revenue source. The commercial loan portfolio consists predominantly of owner-occupied real estate and non-owner-occupied income-producing real estate loans, with the largest CRE categories at year-end 2025 being retail at approximately 13% of total loans, followed by office and commercial categories each at approximately 6%. Specialty financing through Magnolia Financial — accounts receivable, inventory, and purchase order financing — extends the offering to asset-based borrowers across the southeastern United States. The CarBucks division provides used-car floor-plan financing to small dealers. Retail deposits gathered through 113 branches serve as the primary funding source, with access to brokered deposits and FHLB of Atlanta advances as supplemental liquidity.

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First Bancorp's primary operating geographies are North Carolina and South Carolina, and the 10-K acknowledges that the local economic conditions of the Carolinas have a significant impact on demand for the company's products and services. No single county exceeded 9.5% of total loans at year-end 2025, and no market area exceeded 9.0% of total deposits, indicating diversification within the Carolinas but limited diversification outside them. The commercial real estate portfolio, which includes office and retail subcategories, could weigh on credit quality if conditions in the Carolinas deteriorate, particularly given ongoing CRE market pressures flagged by federal banking regulatory agencies.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From First Bancorp's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.7
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn30.8%
ROE7.6%
Rev Growth13.9%
Beta0.83
Dividend1.58%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$65+6.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicthe Carolinas
    10-K Item 1A: 'the local economic conditions of the Carolinas and the specific markets in which we operate have a significant impact on the demand for our products and services'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOW
    Effective April 28, 2026, First Bancorp appointed Kate Nevin and Peter Hans to the Boards of Directors of First Bancorp and First Bank. Routine board appointments; no departures cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
3.4
Growth Rank
5.6
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $57.20Resistance $62.45

Price Targets

$58
$61
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FBNC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $61.20 (+0.5%), stop $57.84 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FBNC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.20 (+0.5% upside). Target $61.20 (+0.5%), stop $57.84 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $57.84.

What are the risks of investing in FBNC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is FBNC overvalued or undervalued?

First Bancorp trades at a P/E of 20.7 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FBNC?

10 analysts cover FBNC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $66.

What does First Bancorp do?First Bancorp, the fourth-largest bank holding company headquartered in North Carolina, provides commercial and...

First Bancorp, the fourth-largest bank holding company headquartered in North Carolina, provides commercial and consumer banking through 113 branches in North Carolina and South Carolina. At December 31, 2025, it held $12.7 billion in assets, $8.7 billion in loans, and $10.7 billion in deposits, earning revenue primarily from net interest income on a commercial and retail loan portfolio.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · PNFP (Pinnacle Financial Partners, In) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.)
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