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EXRExtra Space Storage IncSell4.8·$147.19-2.26%
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Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $147.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the U.S., owning/operating 4,281 stores in 43 states and Washington D.C. and managing 1,856 stores for third parties. Revenue comes from month-to-month self-storage rentals and tenant reinsurance; average same-store... Read more

$147.19-0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#12 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.03%
IncomeYield4.30%(5y avg 3.65%)Payout145.62%
Stop $140.89Target $147.12(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$154.35+4.9%20 analysts
$147.12our TP
$147.19price
$154.35mean
$140
$178

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $147.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Extra Space Storage Inc

About Extra Space Storage Inc

Extra Space Storage owned and/or operated 4,281 self-storage facilities across 43 states and Washington D.C. at December 31, 2025, with roughly 330.4 million square feet across approximately 2.9 million units. Average same-store occupancy reached 93.7% for 2025, in line with the self-storage industry's historical range near 90%. The company also managed 1,856 stores for third-party owners at that date, supported by 8,393 employees.

Self-storage units are leased on month-to-month terms, giving Extra Space Storage flexibility to adjust rates in real time in response to local market conditions — a dynamic that benefits the portfolio during periods of high demand but exposes it when new supply enters a submarket. The company competes primarily with three other public self-storage REITs: CubeSmart, National Storage Affiliates, and Public Storage. Beyond core rental operations, Extra Space Storage generates income through management fees from 1,856 third-party-owned stores, tenant reinsurance premiums through a wholly-owned subsidiary that fully reinsures losses on goods stored by tenants, and interest and fee income from a $1.5 billion bridge lending portfolio that finances third-party operators. Capital structure is predominantly unsecured: $11.2 billion in unsecured notes payable compared with $1.1 billion of secured notes as of December 31, 2025, with $2.6 billion of undrawn capacity on two credit lines providing additional liquidity.

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Month-to-month lease structure means all rental income is subject to continuous repricing — a property-type characteristic that cuts both ways depending on market conditions. California is the most prominently named single-state regulatory risk in the 10-K: following wildfires in 2018, 2019, and early 2025 and floods in 2023, California imposed temporary rent caps on certain facilities, and the filing notes that similar restrictions could be imposed in the future in response to significant events, which could weigh on per-unit revenue at affected stores.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

From Extra Space Storage Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.9
P/E (Fwd)31.4
Mkt Cap$33.2B
EV/EBITDA20.4
Profit Mgn27.1%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth3.8%
Beta1.21
Dividend4.30%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.5

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
3.8
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
6.2
P/OCF: 17.9x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $135.23Resistance $150.12

Price Targets

$141
$147
A.Upside-0.0%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $147.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $140.89. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $147.12 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $140.89. Stop-loss: $140.89.

What are the risks of investing in EXR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Expensive valuation.

Is EXR overvalued or undervalued?

Extra Space Storage Inc trades at a P/E of 33.9 (forward 31.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXR?

24 analysts cover EXR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $154.

What does Extra Space Storage Inc do?Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the U.S., owning/operating 4,281 stores in 43 states and...

Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the U.S., owning/operating 4,281 stores in 43 states and Washington D.C. and managing 1,856 stores for third parties. Revenue comes from month-to-month self-storage rentals and tenant reinsurance; average same-store occupancy was 93.7% in 2025.

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · PLD (Prologis, Inc.)
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