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Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $142.62 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.4/10.

Extra Space Storage is a self-storage REIT operating 4,281 stores across 43 states and Washington D.C. (approximately 330.4 million square feet) and managing 1,856 stores for third parties as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from monthly self-storage rentals and tenant... Read more

$142.62+1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#14 of 15 REIT - Industrial
Stop $136.33Target $144.31(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$151.90+6.5%20 analysts
$144.31our TP
$142.62price
$151.90mean
$178

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $142.62 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.4/10
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.7
P/E (Fwd)29.4
Mkt Cap$31.0B
EV/EBITDA19.5
Profit Mgn27.1%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth3.8%
Beta1.27
Dividend4.61%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.5

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.3
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.2
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $131.41Resistance $147.25

Price Targets

$136
$144
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.1% upside)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $142.62 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $136.33. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $144.31 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $136.33. Stop-loss: $136.33.

What are the risks of investing in EXR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Expensive valuation.

Is EXR overvalued or undervalued?

Extra Space Storage Inc trades at a P/E of 30.7 (forward 29.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXR?

24 analysts cover EXR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $152.

What does Extra Space Storage Inc do?Extra Space Storage is a self-storage REIT operating 4,281 stores across 43 states and Washington D.C. (approximately...

Extra Space Storage is a self-storage REIT operating 4,281 stores across 43 states and Washington D.C. (approximately 330.4 million square feet) and managing 1,856 stores for third parties as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from monthly self-storage rentals and tenant reinsurance; it also has a $1.5 billion bridge lending program for third-party owners.

Related stocks: TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · STAG (Stag Industrial, Inc.) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.)