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Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.90 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the U.S., owning/operating 4,281 stores in 43 states and Washington D.C. and managing 1,856 stores for third parties. Revenue comes from month-to-month self-storage rentals and tenant reinsurance; average same-store... Read more

$136.90+0.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#13 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.44%
IncomeYield4.73%(5y avg 3.61%)Payout145.62%
Stop $132.59Target $137.16(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$152.40+11.3%20 analysts
$137.16our TP
$136.90price
$152.40mean
$178

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.90 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Extra Space Storage Inc

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.8
P/E (Fwd)28.6
Mkt Cap$30.2B
EV/EBITDA19.1
Profit Mgn27.1%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth3.8%
Beta1.23
Dividend4.73%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.5

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.0
Volume
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $136.69Resistance $147.25

Price Targets

$133
$137
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $136.90 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $132.59. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the EXR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $137.16 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $132.59. Stop-loss: $132.59.

What are the risks of investing in EXR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is EXR overvalued or undervalued?

Extra Space Storage Inc trades at a P/E of 30.8 (forward 28.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXR?

24 analysts cover EXR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $152.

What does Extra Space Storage Inc do?Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the U.S., owning/operating 4,281 stores in 43 states and...

Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the U.S., owning/operating 4,281 stores in 43 states and Washington D.C. and managing 1,856 stores for third parties. Revenue comes from month-to-month self-storage rentals and tenant reinsurance; average same-store occupancy was 93.7% in 2025.

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · PSA (Public Storage) · PLD (Prologis, Inc.)