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eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $40.25: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types. The... Read more

$40.25+22.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#26 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $37.87Target $50.04(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$55.60+38.1%15 analysts
$50.04our TP
$40.25price
$55.60mean
$90

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $40.25: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 10/11 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — eToro Group Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.9
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE21.0%
Rev Growth-35.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.2
Bollinger
1.4
Support Resistance
1.7
Gap
6.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
4.0
Value Rank
7.6

Revenue shrinking — -35.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
6.9
Declining revenue: -36%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.95Resistance $41.87

Price Targets

$38
$50
A.Upside+24.3%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$56

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETOR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $40.25: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $37.87. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ETOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.04 (+22.9% upside). Prior stop was $37.87. Stop-loss: $37.87.

What are the risks of investing in ETOR?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is ETOR overvalued or undervalued?

eToro Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 16.9 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ETOR?

20 analysts cover ETOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $56.

What does eToro Group Ltd. do?eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities,...

eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types. The company also operates eToro Club, a membership program providing a range of services and tools to enhance a user's investment experience; eToro Academy, an education hub to improve users' understanding of financial markets; and eToro Money, a money management solution that enables users to make deposits and withdrawals, as well as to trade local stocks in local currencies. In addition, it provides various investment tools and services, including charting and analysis tools and extended-hours trading. Further, the company offers CopyTrader, Pro Investor, and Smart Portfolios program to follow and replicate the trading activities of other users or portfolios. eToro Group Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Bnei Brak, Israel.

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