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eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $35.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types. The... Read more

$35.51+31.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#32 of 40 Capital Markets
Stop $33.05Target $46.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$52.07+46.6%15 analysts
$46.86our TP
$35.51price
$52.07mean
$85

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $35.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 32%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.9): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.7
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE19.4%
Rev Growth-33.9%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.60bearish
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$25-29.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.9
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
3.6
Bollinger
4.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
3.8
Value Rank
7.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.3
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 11 days
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.64Resistance $39.44

Price Targets

$33
$47
A.Upside+32.0%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETOR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $35.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $33.05. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the ETOR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $46.86 (+31.9% upside). Prior stop was $33.05. Stop-loss: $33.05.

What are the risks of investing in ETOR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is ETOR overvalued or undervalued?

eToro Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ETOR?

20 analysts cover ETOR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $52.

What does eToro Group Ltd. do?eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities,...

eToro Group Ltd. engages in the trading business. Its multi-asset platform supports trading and investing in equities, crypto assets, commodities, currencies, and options, which can be traded either as assets or as derivatives related to various underlying asset types. The company also operates eToro Club, a membership program providing a range of services and tools to enhance a user's investment experience; eToro Academy, an education hub to improve users' understanding of financial markets; and eToro Money, a money management solution that enables users to make deposits and withdrawals, as well as to trade local stocks in local currencies. In addition, it provides various investment tools and services, including charting and analysis tools and extended-hours trading. Further, the company offers CopyTrader, Pro Investor, and Smart Portfolios program to follow and replicate the trading activities of other users or portfolios. eToro Group Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Bnei Brak, Israel.

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