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ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, IncHold6.2·$124.96
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Esquire Financial is a fast-growing bank with 66% growth and 32% margins, but the price is 3.0% above the analyst target, insiders sold $3.8 million, and short interest is 12%.

Thesis pillars

  • High Margins Solid Health↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Growth Profile↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat Record↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc (ESQ) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $124.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Esquire Financial Holdings is a bank holding company headquartered in Jericho, New York, operating through Esquire Bank, N.A., which serves the legal/litigation industry nationally and provides payment processing for small businesses, alongside traditional commercial and retail... Read more

$124.96-3.0% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#77 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield0.64%(5y avg 0.68%)Payout12.38%sustainable
Stop $117.14Analyst target $121.27(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$142.67+14.2%3 analysts
$124.96price
$142.67mean
$150

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $124.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc

About Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc

Esquire Financial Holdings, a $2.37 billion-asset bank holding company operating through Esquire Bank, N.A., counts the litigation community as roughly 78% of its deposit base, concentrated among law firms in the New York metropolitan area, Los Angeles, and a national litigation-lending platform spanning 33 states. Payment processing serves 93,000 small-business merchants nationwide, and 36.7% of the loan portfolio sits in New York.

Esquire earns net interest income from Commercial Litigation-Related Loans — working-capital and case-cost lines of credit to law firms secured by contingent settlement receivables rather than conventional collateral — which generated a 9.10% blended asset yield in 2025 and made up 70.8% of the bank's $1.76 billion loan book. Those loans are funded by low-cost escrow and operating deposits from the same law firms, cutting the bank's cost of funds to 0.99% and producing a 6.02% net interest margin. A second business, payment processing for small merchants through roughly 28 independent sales organizations, generated 14% of 2025 revenue on $40 billion of processing volume across 590 million transactions. Multifamily and commercial real estate loans, concentrated in New York City, made up 27.3% of the loan portfolio, and the bank funds itself with $2.06 billion of deposits, about 33% of which are uninsured.

Show full overview

Esquire's growth strategy concentrates risk in a single professional vertical: 36.7% of loans sit in New York, litigation clients supply 78% of deposits, and the ten largest deposit clients alone account for 25.1% of total deposits — a client base whose case volumes depend on court dockets and settlement timing rather than conventional credit metrics. In March 2026 the company agreed to acquire Signature Bancorporation in an all-stock deal valued at approximately $348.4 million that would nearly double Esquire's balance sheet, adding integration risk atop an already concentrated loan book with $1.18 billion in Commercial Litigation-Related Loans representing 94.6% of commercial loans.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 21, 202779d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.7
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn32.4%
ROE10.5%
Rev Growth66.4%
Beta0.40
Dividend0.64%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.25%=MODERATEMomentum 5.7>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $113.53Resistance $133.13

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.0%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-21 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESQ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $124.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $121.27 reached (−3.0%), stop $117.14 (−6.7%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESQ stock price target?

Analyst target $121.27 reached (−3.0% from $124.96); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $121.27 reached (−3.0%), stop $117.14 (−6.7%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $117.14.

What are the risks of investing in ESQ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Is ESQ overvalued or undervalued?

Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc trades at a P/E of 20.7 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ESQ?

7 analysts cover ESQ with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $143.

What does Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc do?Esquire Financial Holdings is a bank holding company headquartered in Jericho, New York, operating through Esquire...

Esquire Financial Holdings is a bank holding company headquartered in Jericho, New York, operating through Esquire Bank, N.A., which serves the legal/litigation industry nationally and provides payment processing for small businesses, alongside traditional commercial and retail banking in the New York and Los Angeles markets. In 2025 the company reported $50.8 million in net income on $2.37 billion in total assets, with a 6.02% net interest margin driven by high-yielding litigation-related commercial loans and low-cost escrow deposits. Esquire agreed in March 2026 to merge with Signature Banco

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