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BHRBBurke & Herbert Financial ServiBuy Wait6.0·$70.15-3.59%
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Burke & Herbert Financial Servi (BHRB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Wait for pullback to $66.64. BUY gates pass at $70.15, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (4.8% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $66.64 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company that provides various community banking products and services in the United States. The company offers consumer and commercial deposit products, such as digital... Read more

$70.15+8.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#99 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.13%(5y avg 3.60%)Payout28.53%sustainable
Entry $66.64(5% below current)Stop $63.12Target $72.22(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$73.25+4.4%4 analysts
$72.22our TP
$70.15price
$73.25mean
$75

Wait for pullback to $66.64. BUY gates pass at $70.15, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (4.8% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $66.64 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.1
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn34.5%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta0.23
Dividend3.13%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.88Resistance $73.69

Price Targets

$63
$67
$72
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BHRB stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $66.64. BUY gates pass at $70.15, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (4.8% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $66.64 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $72.22 (+3.0%), stop $63.12 (−11.1%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BHRB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.22 (+8.4% upside). Target $72.22 (+3.0%), stop $63.12 (−11.1%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $63.12.

What are the risks of investing in BHRB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

Is BHRB overvalued or undervalued?

Burke & Herbert Financial Servi trades at a P/E of 9.1 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BHRB?

10 analysts cover BHRB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $73.

What does Burke & Herbert Financial Servi do?Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company...

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company that provides various community banking products and services in the United States. The company offers consumer and commercial deposit products, such as digital banking, demand, negotiable order of withdrawal, money market, and savings accounts; and certificates of deposit. It also provides loans comprising commercial real estate, single family residential, owner-occupied commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer non-real estate and other loans, as well as acquisition, construction, and development loans. In addition, it offers cash management services; online and mobile banking; and wealth and trust services. Further, the company provides business solutions, including small business and commercial checking and savings options; investment services; and treasury management solutions consist of a suite of digital banking, payables, receivables, and risk management, as well as automated cash flow comprising enhanced reporting, automated clearing house, wires, remote deposit capture, bill pay, lockbox, credit and debit cards, merchant services, fraud protection, and deposit and loan sweeps. Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Alexandria, Virginia.

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