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EQREquity ResidentialSell4.7·$66.88-1.92%
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Equity Residential (EQR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $66.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: major coastal markets.

Equity Residential is one of the largest U.S. publicly-traded apartment owners, concentrated in major coastal markets including Boston, New York, Washington D.C., Southern California, San Francisco, and Seattle, with targeted presence in Denver, Atlanta, Dallas, and Austin.... Read more

$66.88+0.5% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#13 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.44%
IncomeYield4.17%(5y avg 3.81%)Payout111.18%
Stop $64.70Target $67.65(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$70.83+5.9%18 analysts
$67.65our TP
$66.88price
$70.83mean
$63
$80

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $66.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: major coastal markets. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: major coastal markets
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.9
P/E (Fwd)41.5
Mkt Cap$26.0B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn30.6%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta0.76
Dividend4.17%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.40bearish
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicmajor coastal markets
    10-K Item 1: 'primary concentration in the major coastal markets of Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Southern California (including Los Angeles, Orange County and San Diego), San Francisco and Seattle'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.8
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $63.87Resistance $69.03

Price Targets

$65
$68
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $66.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: major coastal markets. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $64.70. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the EQR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.65 (+0.5% upside). Prior stop was $64.70. Stop-loss: $64.70.

What are the risks of investing in EQR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: major coastal markets; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away).

Is EQR overvalued or undervalued?

Equity Residential trades at a P/E of 26.9 (forward 41.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EQR?

26 analysts cover EQR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Equity Residential do?Equity Residential is one of the largest U.S. publicly-traded apartment owners, concentrated in major coastal markets...

Equity Residential is one of the largest U.S. publicly-traded apartment owners, concentrated in major coastal markets including Boston, New York, Washington D.C., Southern California, San Francisco, and Seattle, with targeted presence in Denver, Atlanta, Dallas, and Austin. Revenue comes from rents to approximately 2,400 employees managing high-quality communities for affluent knowledge workers.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UDR (UDR, Inc.) · SUI (Sun Communities, Inc.) · AVB (AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent)
Home Stocks EQR

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