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Equity Residential (EQR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Equity Residential is one of the largest U.S. publicly-traded apartment REITs, owning and operating rental communities primarily in major coastal markets of Boston, New York, DC, Southern California, San Francisco and Seattle, with additional presence in Denver, Atlanta,... Read more

$65.46-0.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#11 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $62.65Target $65.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$70.15+7.2%21 analysts
$65.17our TP
$65.46price
$70.15mean
$63
$80

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.3
P/E (Fwd)43.8
Mkt Cap$25.3B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn30.6%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth2.5%
Beta0.74
Dividend4.29%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.70bearish
IV33%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicmajor coastal markets
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's properties are primarily concentrated in the major coastal markets of Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Southern California...San Francisco and Seattle'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
1.6
52w Position
8.9

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.4
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.7
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $59.24Resistance $66.50

Price Targets

$63
$65
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.46 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $62.65. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.17 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $62.65. Stop-loss: $62.65.

What are the risks of investing in EQR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is EQR overvalued or undervalued?

Equity Residential trades at a P/E of 26.3 (forward 43.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EQR?

30 analysts cover EQR with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Equity Residential do?Equity Residential is one of the largest U.S. publicly-traded apartment REITs, owning and operating rental communities...

Equity Residential is one of the largest U.S. publicly-traded apartment REITs, owning and operating rental communities primarily in major coastal markets of Boston, New York, DC, Southern California, San Francisco and Seattle, with additional presence in Denver, Atlanta, Dallas/Ft. Worth and Austin. Revenue is earned from residential apartment rents under short-term leases to affluent knowledge workers.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · INVH (Invitation Homes Inc.) · SUI (Sun Communities, Inc.) · CPT (Camden Property Trust) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent)