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Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Elemental Royalty Corporation engages in the acquisition and generation of precious and base metal royalties. It is also involved in exploration royalties and royalty generation assets. The company holds royalties in gold, silver, copper, and precious metal projects. In... Read more

$16.20+59.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 10 Other Precious Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-2.74%
IncomeYield0.76%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $15.30Target $25.29(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$29.75+83.6%2 analysts
$25.29our TP
$16.20price
$29.75mean
$33

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Elemental Royalty Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 59%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)264.7
P/E (Fwd)28.0
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA31.3
Profit Mgn-1.1%
ROE-0.1%
Rev Growth109.0%
Beta
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV76%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 76.0%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $15.77Resistance $20.64

Price Targets

$15
$25
A.Upside+56.1%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-14 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.20 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.30. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.29 (+59.3% upside). Prior stop was $15.30. Stop-loss: $15.30.

What are the risks of investing in ELE?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is ELE overvalued or undervalued?

Elemental Royalty Corporation trades at a P/E of 264.7 (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELE?

9 analysts cover ELE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Elemental Royalty Corporation do?Elemental Royalty Corporation engages in the acquisition and generation of precious and base metal royalties. It is...

Elemental Royalty Corporation engages in the acquisition and generation of precious and base metal royalties. It is also involved in exploration royalties and royalty generation assets. The company holds royalties in gold, silver, copper, and precious metal projects. In addition, it operates in North America; South America; Australia; Africa; and internationally. The company was formerly known as Elemental Altus Royalties Corp. and changed its name to Elemental Royalty Corporation in November 2025. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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