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Elanco Animal Health Incorporat (ELAN) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.80 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Weak growth.

Elanco Animal Health is a global animal health company offering pet health and farm animal products sold in more than 90 countries, with the U.S. accounting for 47% of total revenue. Revenue is generated through veterinary distributors, retailers and farm animal producers; the... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.95%
Stop $19.09Target $25.91(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$29.79+50.4%14 analysts
$25.91our TP
$19.80price
$29.79mean
$32

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.80 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Elanco Animal Health Incorporat

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Weak growth
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)16.4
Mkt Cap$10.0B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn-4.9%
ROE-3.8%
Rev Growth14.9%
Beta1.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.04bearish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$15-24.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Value Rank
5.4
Growth Rank
7.4
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.68Resistance $26.29

Price Targets

$19
$26
A.Upside+30.9%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.80 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $19.09. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.91 (+30.0% upside). Prior stop was $19.09. Stop-loss: $19.09.

What are the risks of investing in ELAN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Weak growth; Elevated risk factors.

Is ELAN overvalued or undervalued?

Elanco Animal Health Incorporat trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELAN?

23 analysts cover ELAN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Elanco Animal Health Incorporat do?Elanco Animal Health is a global animal health company offering pet health and farm animal products sold in more than...

Elanco Animal Health is a global animal health company offering pet health and farm animal products sold in more than 90 countries, with the U.S. accounting for 47% of total revenue. Revenue is generated through veterinary distributors, retailers and farm animal producers; the top 5 product families represent approximately 38% of revenue.

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