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ELANElanco Animal Health IncorporatSell4.9·$24.55+1.59%
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Elanco Animal Health Incorporat (ELAN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. At $24.55, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Elanco Animal Health is a global animal health company offering pet health and farm animal products sold in more than 90 countries, with the U.S. accounting for 47% of total revenue. Revenue is generated through veterinary distributors, retailers and farm animal producers; the... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.73%
Stop $22.82Target $25.91(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$29.79+21.3%14 analysts
$25.91our TP
$24.55price
$29.79mean
$23
$32

Sell if holding. At $24.55, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Elanco Animal Health Incorporat

About Elanco Animal Health Incorporat

Elanco Animal Health's top five product families — Advantage Family, Seresto, Credelio Family, Rumensin, and Maxiban/Monteban — represented approximately 38% of total 2025 revenue, with the Advantage Family alone accounting for 10%. The U.S. generated 47% of total revenue in 2025; Brazil, the U.K., and China rank as the largest international markets. R&D expenses totaled $368 million in 2025, with Credelio Quattro launched in January 2025 and Befrena receiving USDA approval in December 2025.

Elanco earns revenue through prescription and over-the-counter products across pet health (parasiticides, dermatology, vaccines, pain management) and farm animal (medicated feed additives, injectable antibiotics, vaccines, enzymes) categories. Pet health products, including the Advantage Family and Seresto, flow primarily through third-party distributors and veterinarians, while farm animal products reach beef, dairy, pork, and poultry producers directly and through distributors. A Cencora, Inc. affiliate — the company's largest customer — contributed approximately 12% of 2025 revenue; the second-largest distributor added 7%. Elanco's 16 manufacturing sites across nine countries are supplemented by roughly 140 contract manufacturing organizations; for certain inputs, the company obtains raw materials and active pharmaceutical ingredients from only a single source. Animal-only antibiotics generated 15% of 2025 revenue, with ionophores comprising 89% of that total; shared-class antibiotics added 9%. Elanco competes primarily against Zoetis Inc., Boehringer Ingelheim Animal Health GmbH, and Merck Animal Health.

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The Seresto flea-and-tick collar formulation patent expires in the U.S. in September 2027; European formulation patents expired in June 2025, with supplementary protection certificates extending to August 2026 in Spain, Italy, and the U.K. A competitor began selling a generic Seresto-competitive collar in the U.S. in January 2026, more than a year before relevant U.S. patent rights expire. Seresto generated approximately 70% of its annual revenue in the first half of 2025, reflecting Northern Hemisphere flea-and-tick seasonality; if generic competition intensifies, pricing and margin in this seasonal category may be impacted.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Elanco Animal Health Incorporat's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.6%
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.4
Mkt Cap$12.1B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn-4.9%
ROE-3.8%
Rev Growth14.9%
Beta1.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$15-38.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
7.4
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.40Resistance $26.23

Price Targets

$23
$26
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELAN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $24.55, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $22.82. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.91 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $22.82. Stop-loss: $22.82.

What are the risks of investing in ELAN?

Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is ELAN overvalued or undervalued?

Elanco Animal Health Incorporat trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELAN?

22 analysts cover ELAN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Elanco Animal Health Incorporat do?Elanco Animal Health is a global animal health company offering pet health and farm animal products sold in more than...

Elanco Animal Health is a global animal health company offering pet health and farm animal products sold in more than 90 countries, with the U.S. accounting for 47% of total revenue. Revenue is generated through veterinary distributors, retailers and farm animal producers; the top 5 product families represent approximately 38% of revenue.

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