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EFSCEnterprise Financial Services CHold5.5·$60.69
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 10.7x with a constructive technical setup following a golden cross, but only 0.8% of headroom remains to the near-term resistance level and the reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 0.2-to-1 makes new exposure inadvisable until the price pulls back or the analyst target is raised materially.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Profile→Stable
  • Minimal Upside Poor Geometry→Stable
  • Bullish Technical Breakout→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enterprise Financial Services C (EFSC) Stock Analysis

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Enterprise Financial Services Corp operates Enterprise Bank & Trust, a full-service bank with more than $10 billion in assets serving businesses and individuals primarily in Arizona, California, Florida, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, and New Mexico. The bank generates net interest... Read more

$60.69+2.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#174 of 221 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.22%(5y avg 2.02%)Payout25.84%sustainable
Stop $58.39Target $62.20(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$71.50+17.8%6 analysts
$62.20our TP
$60.69price
$71.50mean
$74

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 26, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Positive news sentiment (+0.73)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.0
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn27.4%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta0.80
Dividend2.22%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
2.9
Value Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.80Resistance $64.58

Price Targets

$58
$62
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.5% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-26 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EFSC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $62.20 (+2.5%), stop $58.39 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EFSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.20 (+2.5% upside). Target $62.20 (+2.5%), stop $58.39 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $58.39.

What are the risks of investing in EFSC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is EFSC overvalued or undervalued?

Enterprise Financial Services C trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EFSC?

11 analysts cover EFSC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Enterprise Financial Services C do?Enterprise Financial Services Corp operates Enterprise Bank & Trust, a full-service bank with more than $10 billion in...

Enterprise Financial Services Corp operates Enterprise Bank & Trust, a full-service bank with more than $10 billion in assets serving businesses and individuals primarily in Arizona, California, Florida, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, and New Mexico. The bank generates net interest income through C&I, CRE, SBA 7(a), sponsor finance, and specialty lending, supplemented by wealth management and treasury management fee income.

Related stocks: CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · ISTR (Investar Holding Corporation) · FSBC (Five Star Bancorp) · FBIZ (First Business Financial Servic) · BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares, Inc.)
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