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EFSCEnterprise Financial Services CBuy Wait5.7·$65.68-0.18%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 10.7x with a constructive technical setup following a golden cross, but only 0.8% of headroom remains to the near-term resistance level and the reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 0.2-to-1 makes new exposure inadvisable until the price pulls back or the analyst target is raised materially.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation ProfileStable
  • Minimal Upside Poor GeometryStable
  • Bullish Technical BreakoutStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Enterprise Financial Services C (EFSC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Wait for pullback to $61.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $65.68. Engine's entry $61.38 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

Enterprise Financial Services Corp operates Enterprise Bank & Trust, a full-service bank with more than $10 billion in assets serving businesses and individuals primarily in Arizona, California, Florida, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, and New Mexico. The bank generates net interest... Read more

$65.68+7.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#146 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.98%(5y avg 2.02%)Payout23.77%sustainable
Entry $61.38(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $58.27Target $66.18(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$68.80+4.8%5 analysts
$66.18our TP
$65.68price
$68.80mean
$72

Wait for pullback to $61.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $65.68. Engine's entry $61.38 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn28.9%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth12.6%
Beta0.80
Dividend1.98%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.62Resistance $67.53

Price Targets

$58
$61
$66
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EFSC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $61.38. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $65.68. Engine's entry $61.38 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $66.18 (+0.8%), stop $58.27 (−12.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EFSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.18 (+7.8% upside). Target $66.18 (+0.8%), stop $58.27 (−12.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $58.27.

What are the risks of investing in EFSC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

Is EFSC overvalued or undervalued?

Enterprise Financial Services C trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EFSC?

11 analysts cover EFSC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Enterprise Financial Services C do?Enterprise Financial Services Corp operates Enterprise Bank & Trust, a full-service bank with more than $10 billion in...

Enterprise Financial Services Corp operates Enterprise Bank & Trust, a full-service bank with more than $10 billion in assets serving businesses and individuals primarily in Arizona, California, Florida, Kansas, Missouri, Nevada, and New Mexico. The bank generates net interest income through C&I, CRE, SBA 7(a), sponsor finance, and specialty lending, supplemented by wealth management and treasury management fee income.

Related stocks: NBN (Northeast Bank) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · NPB (Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I)
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