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DTE Energy Company (DTE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

DTE Energy Company engages in energy-related businesses and services. The company operates through four segments: Electric, Gas, DTE Vantage, and Energy Trading.The company's Electric segment generates, purchases, distributes, and sells electricity to approximately 2.3 million... Read more

$141.35+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#28 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-7.44%
IncomeYield3.24%(5y avg 3.27%)Payout74.18%
Stop $135.56Target $150.65(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$159.39+12.8%14 analysts
$150.65our TP
$141.35price
$159.39mean
$168

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — DTE Energy Company

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: MPSC
Target reached (-1.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.2
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$29.4B
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta0.41
Dividend3.24%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV32%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryMPSC
    10-K Item 1A: 'Electric and gas rates for the utilities are set by the MPSC and the FERC and cannot be changed without regulatory authorization. The Registrants may be negatively impacted by new regulations or interpretations by the MPSC'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
1.7
Roa
1.9
Roe
3.5
Net Margin
3.8
Current Ratio
3.8
Operating Margin
4.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -173% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.5
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $139.75Resistance $153.72

Price Targets

$136
$151
A.Upside+6.6%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $141.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $135.56. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $150.65 (+6.6% upside). Prior stop was $135.56. Stop-loss: $135.56.

What are the risks of investing in DTE?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: MPSC; Target reached (-1.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is DTE overvalued or undervalued?

DTE Energy Company trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DTE?

23 analysts cover DTE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $159.

What does DTE Energy Company do?DTE Energy Company engages in energy-related businesses and services. The company operates through four segments:...

DTE Energy Company engages in energy-related businesses and services. The company operates through four segments: Electric, Gas, DTE Vantage, and Energy Trading.The company's Electric segment generates, purchases, distributes, and sells electricity to approximately 2.3 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in southeastern Michigan. It generates electricity through coal-fired plants, natural gas plant, hydroelectric pumped storage, and nuclear plants, as well as wind and solar assets. This segment owns and operates 702 distribution substations with a capacity of approximately 37,870,000 kilovolt-amperes (kVA) and approximately 4,56,900 line transformers with a capacity of approximately 33,770,000 kVA. The company's Gas segment purchases, stores, transports, distributes, and sells natural gas to approximately 1.4 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers throughout Michigan; and sells storage and transportation capacity. This segment has approximately 21,000 miles of distribution mains; 1,242,000 service pipelines; and 1,361,000 active meters, as well as owns approximately 2,000 miles of transmission pipelines. Its DTE Vantage segment offers metallurgical and petroleum coke to steel and other industries; and power generation, steam production, chilled water production, and wastewater treatment services, as well as compressed air supply to industrial customers. This segment also owns and operates 2 renewable generating plants with a capacity of 70 MWs; and 22 gas recovery sites. Its Energy Trading segment engages in power, natural gas, and environmental marketing and trading; structured transactions; and the optimization of contracted natural gas pipeline transportation and storage positions. The company was founded in 1849 and is based in Detroit, Michigan.

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