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DTE Energy Company (DTE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $149.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

DTE Energy Company engages in energy-related businesses and services. The company operates through four segments: Electric, Gas, DTE Vantage, and Energy Trading.The company's Electric segment generates, purchases, distributes, and sells electricity to approximately 2.3 million... Read more

$149.70-0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $144.07Target $148.37(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$160.11+7.0%14 analysts
$148.37our TP
$149.70price
$160.11mean
$170

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $149.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: MPSC
Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas and coal
Target reached (-6.6% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.9
P/E (Fwd)17.6
Mkt Cap$30.6B
EV/EBITDA15.7
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth28.9%
Beta0.43
Dividend3.07%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV39%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryMPSC
    10-K Item 1A: 'Electric and gas rates for the utilities are set by the MPSC and the FERC and cannot be changed without regulatory authorization.'
  • HIGHCommoditynatural gas and coal
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Registrants are dependent on natural gas and coal for much of their electrical generating capacity as well as uranium for their nuclear operations.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02LOW
    DTE Energy O&C Committee approved 2026 Annual Incentive Plan (AIP) performance measures for executive officers on Feb 4, 2026. Metrics include Operating EPS (20%), Cash From Operations (20%), Customer Satisfaction (15%), Employee Engagement (5%), Safety. Routine compensation arrangement; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
2.0
Gross Margin
2.1
Current Ratio
3.2
Roe
4.1
Net Margin
4.6
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
6.4
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -119% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $143.11Resistance $151.40

Price Targets

$144
$148
A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.7), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $149.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $144.07. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $148.37 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $144.07. Stop-loss: $144.07.

What are the risks of investing in DTE?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: MPSC; Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas and coal; Target reached (-6.6% upside).

Is DTE overvalued or undervalued?

DTE Energy Company trades at a P/E of 20.9 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DTE?

23 analysts cover DTE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $160.

What does DTE Energy Company do?DTE Energy Company engages in energy-related businesses and services. The company operates through four segments:...

DTE Energy Company engages in energy-related businesses and services. The company operates through four segments: Electric, Gas, DTE Vantage, and Energy Trading.The company's Electric segment generates, purchases, distributes, and sells electricity to approximately 2.3 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in southeastern Michigan. It generates electricity through coal-fired plants, natural gas plant, hydroelectric pumped storage, and nuclear plants, as well as wind and solar assets. This segment owns and operates 702 distribution substations with a capacity of approximately 37,870,000 kilovolt-amperes (kVA) and approximately 4,56,900 line transformers with a capacity of approximately 33,770,000 kVA. The company's Gas segment purchases, stores, transports, distributes, and sells natural gas to approximately 1.4 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers throughout Michigan; and sells storage and transportation capacity. This segment has approximately 21,000 miles of distribution mains; 1,242,000 service pipelines; and 1,361,000 active meters, as well as owns approximately 2,000 miles of transmission pipelines. Its DTE Vantage segment offers metallurgical and petroleum coke to steel and other industries; and power generation, steam production, chilled water production, and wastewater treatment services, as well as compressed air supply to industrial customers. This segment also owns and operates 2 renewable generating plants with a capacity of 70 MWs; and 22 gas recovery sites. Its Energy Trading segment engages in power, natural gas, and environmental marketing and trading; structured transactions; and the optimization of contracted natural gas pipeline transportation and storage positions. The company was founded in 1849 and is based in Detroit, Michigan.

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