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Douglas Emmett, Inc. (DEI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu.

Douglas Emmett is a self-administered REIT owning 70 office properties (18M sq ft) and 15 multifamily communities (5,445 units) concentrated in premier Los Angeles County submarkets and Honolulu, Hawaii. No tenant accounted for more than 10% of revenues in 2023, 2024, or 2025.... Read more

$11.61+5.5% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#11 of 14 REIT - Office
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield16.51%
IncomeYield6.53%(5y avg 5.30%)Payout844.44%
Stop $10.83Target $12.28(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$12.45+7.2%10 analysts
$12.28our TP
$11.61price
$12.45mean
$11
$15

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Douglas Emmett, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-94.8
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn-2.6%
ROE-1.9%
Rev Growth-0.2%
Beta1.17
Dividend6.53%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLos Angeles County and Honolulu
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our properties are located in Los Angeles County, California, and Honolulu, Hawaii'
  • MEDIUMTenantlegal industry tenants20%
    10-K Item 1A: '19.7% of our tenants operated in the legal industry, 16.8% in the financial services industry, 13.3% in the real estate industry and 9.9% in the health services industry'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOW
    Leslie Bider retiring from Board at 2026 Annual Meeting (May 28, 2026); he notified Board on April 6, 2026. Andy Cohen elected to Board effective April 8, 2026; Board size temporarily increased from 8 to 9. No disagreement with management cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.3
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.38Resistance $12.53

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+5.8%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DEI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.61 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.83. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

What is the DEI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.28 (+5.5% upside). Prior stop was $10.83. Stop-loss: $10.83.

What are the risks of investing in DEI?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1).

Is DEI overvalued or undervalued?

Douglas Emmett, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -94.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DEI?

19 analysts cover DEI with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Douglas Emmett, Inc. do?Douglas Emmett is a self-administered REIT owning 70 office properties (18M sq ft) and 15 multifamily communities...

Douglas Emmett is a self-administered REIT owning 70 office properties (18M sq ft) and 15 multifamily communities (5,445 units) concentrated in premier Los Angeles County submarkets and Honolulu, Hawaii. No tenant accounted for more than 10% of revenues in 2023, 2024, or 2025. It averages approximately 39% share of Class A office space in its target submarkets.

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