Douglas Emmett is an office REIT that is free-cash-flow positive with a 39% FCF margin despite reporting GAAP losses, and has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the past 4 quarters; however, a hard technical block from a death cross, high short interest at 26%, negative asymmetry, and concentration in a single geographic market combine to make this an unattractive setup at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Death Cross Hard Technical Block→Stable
- Fcf Positive Despite Gaap Loss→Stable
- Earnings Beat Trend↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026· older than 90 days
Douglas Emmett, Inc. (DEI) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Real Estate · REIT - Office
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.85 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.5%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu.
Douglas Emmett, Inc. owns and operates 70 office properties (18.0 million sq ft) and 15 multifamily properties (5,445 units) exclusively in Los Angeles County and Honolulu through a fully integrated REIT structure. The company earns rental income primarily from small... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.85 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.5%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — Douglas Emmett, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Douglas Emmett Releases Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Results — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Douglas Emmett Q3 FFO $0.34 Beats $0.33 Estimate, Sales $260.864M Beat $256.358M Estimate — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 positive
- NEWS Douglas Emmett Affirms FY2026 FFO Guidance of $1.39-$1.43 vs $1.41 Est — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Douglas Emmett (DEI) Leads U.S. REITs with 19.10% Short Interest on November 02, 2026 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Nov 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Douglas Emmett tops most-shorted REITs above $2B; American Tower ranks lowest - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Nov 2, 2026 negative
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:10:02Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicLos Angeles County and Honolulu10-K Item 1A: 'All of our properties are located in Los Angeles County, California, and Honolulu, Hawaii'
- LOWTenantlegal industry tenants20%10-K Item 1A: 'as a percentage of our annualized base rental revenue for the stabilized portfolio, 19.7% of our tenants operated in the legal industry'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOWStockholders approved the Douglas Emmett, Inc. 2026 Omnibus Stock Incentive Plan at the May 28, 2026 Annual Meeting. The plan was adopted by the Board on April 8, 2026 and authorizes grants covering up to 15 million shares. No further grants under the 2016 Plan.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOWDirector Leslie E. Bider notified the company on April 6, 2026 that he will not stand for re-election and will retire at the May 28, 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement cited. Andy Cohen elected to the Board effective April 8, 2026 as replacement.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.85 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.5%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $9.31. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $10.79 (+9.5% upside). Prior stop was $9.31. Stop-loss: $9.31.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu; Thin upside margin: 9.5%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).
Douglas Emmett, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -56.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts rate DEI, with a consensus score of 2.7/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $12.
What does Douglas Emmett, Inc. do?Douglas Emmett, Inc. owns and operates 70 office properties (18.0 million sq ft) and 15 multifamily properties (5,445...
Douglas Emmett, Inc. owns and operates 70 office properties (18.0 million sq ft) and 15 multifamily properties (5,445 units) exclusively in Los Angeles County and Honolulu through a fully integrated REIT structure. The company earns rental income primarily from small professional office tenants — led by legal, financial services, and real estate industries — and from apartment residents. Geographic concentration in two coastal markets creates exposure to California regulatory, seismic, and local economic cycle risks.