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Douglas Emmett, Inc. (DEI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu.

Douglas Emmett is a self-administered REIT owning 70 office properties (18M sq ft) and 15 multifamily communities concentrated in Los Angeles County, California, and Honolulu, Hawaii. Revenue is from office leases (primarily small tenants; legal at 19.7%, financial services... Read more

$10.90+0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#12 of 14 REIT - Office
Stop $10.22Target $10.94(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$11.55+6.0%10 analysts
$10.94our TP
$10.90price
$11.55mean
$9
$15

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)119.6
P/E (Fwd)-75.4
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE-0.3%
Rev Growth1.5%
Beta1.14
Dividend7.06%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLos Angeles County and Honolulu
    10-K Item 1A: 'All of our properties are located in Los Angeles County, California, and Honolulu, Hawaii'
  • MEDIUMTenantlegal industry tenants20%
    10-K Item 1A: '19.7% of our tenants operated in the legal industry, 16.8% in the financial services industry, 13.3% in the real estate industry and 9.9% in the health services industry'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-10Item 5.02LOW
    DEI director Leslie Bider (Lead Director) informed company April 6, 2026 he will not stand for re-election; retires at May 28, 2026 annual meeting. Andy Cohen elected to Board effective April 8, 2026; board temporarily increased from 8 to 9. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.2
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
3.5

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.1
Value Rank
3.6
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.04Resistance $11.16

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DEI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $10.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $10.22. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the DEI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.94 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $10.22. Stop-loss: $10.22.

What are the risks of investing in DEI?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Los Angeles County and Honolulu; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is DEI overvalued or undervalued?

Douglas Emmett, Inc. trades at a P/E of 119.6 (forward -75.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DEI?

19 analysts cover DEI with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Douglas Emmett, Inc. do?Douglas Emmett is a self-administered REIT owning 70 office properties (18M sq ft) and 15 multifamily communities...

Douglas Emmett is a self-administered REIT owning 70 office properties (18M sq ft) and 15 multifamily communities concentrated in Los Angeles County, California, and Honolulu, Hawaii. Revenue is from office leases (primarily small tenants; legal at 19.7%, financial services 16.8% of annualized base rent) and multifamily rents; the company held $5.6B in consolidated debt as of December 31, 2025.

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