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Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $67.16. At $78.72 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $67.16 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.7%.

Diebold Nixdorf automates and digitizes the way people bank and shop through Banking and Retail segments, with presence in 100+ countries and ~20,000 employees. Revenue is generated from ATMs, cash recyclers, self-service kiosks, software, and services primarily to financial... Read more

$78.72+22.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#85 of 96 Software - Application
Entry $67.16(200-day MA)Stop $62.46Target $82.17(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1Setup A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$96.67+22.8%3 analysts
$82.17our TP
$78.72price
$96.67mean
$100

Wait for pullback to $67.16. At $78.72 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $67.16 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.7%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.7%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.7
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta1.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.39bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$55-30.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, revenue from international operations amounted to approximately 76% of total revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Diebold Nixdorf designated SVP/Chief Accounting Officer Jeffrey Sesplankis as principal accounting officer effective February 24, 2026. Thomas Timko continues as EVP/CFO and principal financial officer. Sesplankis joined as CAO in January 2025.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.5
Quality Rank
4.3
Value Rank
6.7
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $75.71Resistance $89.05

Price Targets

$62
$67
$82
A.Upside+4.4%
A.R:R0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DBD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $67.16. At $78.72 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $67.16 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.7%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $82.17 (+4.4%), stop $62.46 (−26.0%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DBD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.17 (+22.3% upside). Target $82.17 (+4.4%), stop $62.46 (−26.0%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $62.46.

What are the risks of investing in DBD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.7%.

Is DBD overvalued or undervalued?

Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated trades at a P/E of 32.7 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DBD?

7 analysts cover DBD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $97.

What does Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated do?Diebold Nixdorf automates and digitizes the way people bank and shop through Banking and Retail segments, with presence...

Diebold Nixdorf automates and digitizes the way people bank and shop through Banking and Retail segments, with presence in 100+ countries and ~20,000 employees. Revenue is generated from ATMs, cash recyclers, self-service kiosks, software, and services primarily to financial institutions and retailers; in 2025, approximately 76% of total revenue came from international operations.

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