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DBDDiebold Nixdorf IncorporatedSell5.6·$81.27+0.16%
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Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.27 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%).

Diebold Nixdorf provides integrated banking technology (ATMs, cash recyclers, software) and retail technology (POS, self-checkout) to customers in 100+ countries with ~20,000 employees. Banking (73.5% of 2025 net sales) and Retail (26.5%) segments generated $3.8B total net sales... Read more

$81.27+2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#50 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.55%
Stop $75.87Target $83.58(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$98.33+21.0%3 analysts
$83.58our TP
$81.27price
$98.33mean
$100

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.27 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.0
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA7.8
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta1.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, revenue from international operations amounted to approximately 76% of total revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Jeffrey Sesplankis, SVP and Chief Accounting Officer, designated as principal accounting officer effective February 24, 2026, replacing Thomas Timko who continues as EVP and CFO (principal financial officer). No reason cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
4.1
Value Rank
6.9
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.71Resistance $84.81

Price Targets

$76
$84
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.8% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DBD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.27 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $75.87. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the DBD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.58 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $75.87. Stop-loss: $75.87.

What are the risks of investing in DBD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Is DBD overvalued or undervalued?

Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated trades at a P/E of 28.0 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DBD?

7 analysts cover DBD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated do?Diebold Nixdorf provides integrated banking technology (ATMs, cash recyclers, software) and retail technology (POS,...

Diebold Nixdorf provides integrated banking technology (ATMs, cash recyclers, software) and retail technology (POS, self-checkout) to customers in 100+ countries with ~20,000 employees. Banking (73.5% of 2025 net sales) and Retail (26.5%) segments generated $3.8B total net sales in 2025. International revenue represented approximately 76% of total revenue.

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