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Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $69.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Diebold Nixdorf provides integrated banking technology (ATMs, cash recyclers, software) and retail technology (POS, self-checkout) to customers in 100+ countries with ~20,000 employees. Banking (73.5% of 2025 net sales) and Retail (26.5%) segments generated $3.8B total net sales... Read more

$69.70+19.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#55 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield13.45%
Stop $67.53Target $83.58(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$98.33+41.1%3 analysts
$83.58our TP
$69.70price
$98.33mean
$100

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $69.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.0
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn2.8%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations76%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, revenue from international operations amounted to approximately 76% of total revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Jeffrey Sesplankis, SVP and Chief Accounting Officer, designated as principal accounting officer effective February 24, 2026, replacing Thomas Timko who continues as EVP and CFO (principal financial officer). No reason cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 21)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
4.2
Value Rank
7.4
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.62Resistance $89.05

Price Targets

$68
$84
A.Upside+19.9%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DBD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $69.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $67.53. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the DBD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.58 (+19.9% upside). Prior stop was $67.53. Stop-loss: $67.53.

What are the risks of investing in DBD?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (76.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is DBD overvalued or undervalued?

Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated trades at a P/E of 24.0 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DBD?

7 analysts cover DBD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated do?Diebold Nixdorf provides integrated banking technology (ATMs, cash recyclers, software) and retail technology (POS,...

Diebold Nixdorf provides integrated banking technology (ATMs, cash recyclers, software) and retail technology (POS, self-checkout) to customers in 100+ countries with ~20,000 employees. Banking (73.5% of 2025 net sales) and Retail (26.5%) segments generated $3.8B total net sales in 2025. International revenue represented approximately 76% of total revenue.

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