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DACDanaos CorporationHold6.4·$155.26+0.72%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Danaos offers one of the deepest value profiles in marine shipping — a forward P/E of 5.4x, a PEG of 0.21, best-in-class margins of 50%, and a 69% margin of safety — with a favorable risk/reward of 1.58-to-1; the main friction is that the stock is already just below its near-term target with about 1.6% headroom remaining, suggesting patience for a pullback toward the entry level.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Valuation DiscountStable
  • Best In Class Operating MarginsStable
  • Estimate Revision MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Danaos Corporation (DAC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Danaos Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates containerships and drybulk vessels in Australia, Europe, and the United States. It operates in two segments, Container Vessels and Drybulk Vessels. The company provides seaborne transportation services by operating... Read more

$155.26-9.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#8 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.34%(5y avg 3.73%)Payout12.02%sustainable
Stop $149.22Target $178.55(default +15%)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$164.50+6.0%2 analysts
$178.55our TP
$155.26price
$164.50mean
$179

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.2
P/E (Fwd)6.3
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA4.1
Profit Mgn51.3%
ROE14.1%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta0.86
Dividend2.34%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $134.00Resistance $155.89

Price Targets

$149
$179
A.Upside-9.9%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $178.55 (+15.0%), stop $149.22 (−4.0%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $178.55 (-9.9% upside). Target $178.55 (+15.0%), stop $149.22 (−4.0%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $149.22.

What are the risks of investing in DAC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is DAC overvalued or undervalued?

Danaos Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.2 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DAC?

7 analysts cover DAC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $165.

What does Danaos Corporation do?Danaos Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates containerships and drybulk vessels in Australia,...

Danaos Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates containerships and drybulk vessels in Australia, Europe, and the United States. It operates in two segments, Container Vessels and Drybulk Vessels. The company provides seaborne transportation services by operating vessels in the containership and drybulk sectors of the shipping industry. As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 75 containerships aggregating 477,230 TEUs; 27 container vessels under construction containerships aggregating 173,314 TEUs; 10 Capesize bulk carriers aggregating 1,755,000 DWT; and 2 dry bulk vessels under construction aggregating 422,000 DWT. The company was formerly known as Danaos Holdings Limited and changed its name to Danaos Corporation in October 2005. Danaos Corporation was founded in 1963 and is based in Piraeus, Greece.

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