Value
9.8/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 10.0 |
| P/S | 8.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.9 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 5.4x
- ▸PEG: 0.21
- ▸Attractively valued
DAC · Why this verdict
Why Danaos (DAC) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.7 |
| ROA | 4.4 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.0 |
| FCF quality | 2.1 |
| Moat | 7.2 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong margins: 50%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 26% FCF/NI
- ▸Rule of 40: 13 (fail)
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
4.8/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.5 |
| EPS growth | 7.1 |
Momentum
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.3 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.9 |
| Price target | 7.7 |
| erm sentiment | 8.1 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (2.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Estimates rising as sentiment proxy (+7.7%)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
5.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.8 |
| quality rank | 6.9 |
| growth rank | 4.2 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.9 |
| support resistance | 2.6 |
| 52w position | 9.5 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.1 |
| days to cover | 4.5 |
| volatility | 6.2 |
| put call | 4.2 |
| implied vol | 5.1 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 7.7 |
| debt equity | 9.0 |
- ▸Above max pain $65
Catalyst
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 9.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.2 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Estimates up 7.7% (30d)
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 274.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Fundamentals strong but target reached (2.0% upside).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_A_DEEP_VALUE|V8:TARGET_REACHED|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.0>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:49d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
0.31
Upside
+2.0%
Downside
6.3%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.4B<$5B
Investment implication
The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects the ASYMMETRY gate's 0.3<1.5@spot outcome against Value at 9.8 and asymmetric R:R of 0.31.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.8, Sentiment at 7.1, and Quality at 6.6; the weakest are Growth at 4.8, Catalyst at 4.9, and Technical at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.31 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.