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China Yuchai International Limi (CYD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.36: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses, pickups, construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. It operates through two segments, Yuchai and HLGE. The Yuchai... Read more

$40.36+16.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 16 Auto Manufacturers
Stop $37.53Target $47.20(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$55.53+37.6%4 analysts
$47.20our TP
$40.36price
$55.53mean
$65

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.36: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.1
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE
Rev Growth23.0%
Beta1.33
Dividend1.32%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV84%elevated
Max Pain$23-44.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.5
Uptrend pullback (RSI 40) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
1.1
Operating Margin
1.7
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.28Resistance $46.89

Price Targets

$38
$47
A.Upside+16.9%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CYD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.36: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $37.53. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CYD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.20 (+16.9% upside). Prior stop was $37.53. Stop-loss: $37.53.

What are the risks of investing in CYD?

Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is CYD overvalued or undervalued?

China Yuchai International Limi trades at a P/E of 19.1 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CYD?

8 analysts cover CYD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $56.

What does China Yuchai International Limi do?China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses,...

China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses, pickups, construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. It operates through two segments, Yuchai and HLGE. The Yuchai segment manufactures on- and off-road powertrain solutions and applications. The HLGE is engaged in hospitality and property development activities. The company provides diesel engines comprising 4- and 6-cylinder diesel engines, high horsepower marine diesel engines, and power generator engines; natural gas engines, hydrogen combustion engines, methanol combustion engines, diesel power generators, diesel engine parts, and remanufacturing services; as well as plug in hybrid engines, range extenders, power generation powertrains, hybrid powertrains, integrated electric drive axle powertrain, and fuel cell systems. It also offers repair, maintenance, and retrofitting services. It distributes its engines directly to auto original equipment manufacturers, agents, and retailers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in Singapore.

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