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Carnival Plc (CUK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Sell if holding. At $27.47, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Carnival Corporation & plc is the largest global cruise company operating 8 brands across 94 ships with 272,460 passenger capacity, carrying 13.6 million guests in 2025 across North America (64% of capacity) and European segments. Revenue combines passenger ticket sales (66%)... Read more

$27.47+8.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#11 of 15 Travel Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.71%
IncomeYield0.01%(5y avg 4.56%)Payout6.61%sustainable
Stop $25.55Target $29.75(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$35.00+27.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $27.47, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Carnival Plc

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.3%
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.1
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$38.1B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn11.5%
ROE27.9%
Rev Growth6.1%
Beta2.33
Dividend0.01%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.21Resistance $30.08

Price Targets

$26
$30
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-24 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CUK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $27.47, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $25.55. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the CUK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.75 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $25.55. Stop-loss: $25.55.

What are the risks of investing in CUK?

Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Is CUK overvalued or undervalued?

Carnival Plc trades at a P/E of 12.1 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CUK?

17 analysts cover CUK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Carnival Plc do?Carnival Corporation & plc is the largest global cruise company operating 8 brands across 94 ships with 272,460...

Carnival Corporation & plc is the largest global cruise company operating 8 brands across 94 ships with 272,460 passenger capacity, carrying 13.6 million guests in 2025 across North America (64% of capacity) and European segments. Revenue combines passenger ticket sales (66%) and onboard spending (34% of cruise revenues); the company competes in contemporary, premium, and luxury segments. The DLC structure unified under a single Bermudan entity in May 2026.

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