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CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $100.77: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality.

CoreWeave operates an AI-native cloud platform providing GPU computing infrastructure, software orchestration (CoreWeave Mission Control), and managed services—including Weights & Biases developer tools—primarily for AI training and inference workloads. Revenue was $5.1 billion... Read more

$100.77+29.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#60 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-14.62%
Stop $95.69Target $130.02(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$141.32+40.2%31 analysts
$130.02our TP
$100.77price
$141.32mean
$36
$295

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $100.77: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — CoreWeave, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: NVIDIA GPUs
Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of customers
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-156.5
Mkt Cap$58.5B
EV/EBITDA30.2
Profit Mgn-25.6%
ROE-40.7%
Rev Growth111.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$40-60.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierNVIDIA GPUs
    10-K Item 1A: 'all of the GPUs used in our infrastructure today are NVIDIA GPUs'
  • HIGHCustomerlimited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our revenue is driven by a limited number of our customers, and the loss of, or a significant reduction in, spending from one or a few of our top customers would adversely affect our business'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
1.3
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.8
Gross Margin
9.9
Cash-burning: FCF -137% of revenueRule of 40: -26 (fail)Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
9.9
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $98.65Resistance $138.25

Price Targets

$96
$130
A.Upside+29.0%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRWV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $100.77: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $95.69. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRWV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.02 (+29.4% upside). Prior stop was $95.69. Stop-loss: $95.69.

What are the risks of investing in CRWV?

Concentration risk — Supplier: NVIDIA GPUs; Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of customers; Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is CRWV overvalued or undervalued?

CoreWeave, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -156.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRWV?

42 analysts cover CRWV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $141.

What does CoreWeave, Inc. do?CoreWeave operates an AI-native cloud platform providing GPU computing infrastructure, software orchestration...

CoreWeave operates an AI-native cloud platform providing GPU computing infrastructure, software orchestration (CoreWeave Mission Control), and managed services—including Weights & Biases developer tools—primarily for AI training and inference workloads. Revenue was $5.1 billion in 2025, driven by multi-year take-or-pay contracts; $60.7 billion in remaining performance obligations as of December 31, 2025. All deployed GPUs are NVIDIA, creating a concentrated technology supply chain.

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