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CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $115.81: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

CoreWeave is a purpose-built AI cloud infrastructure provider operating 43 data centers with over 850 MW of active power and $60.7 billion in remaining performance obligations as of December 31, 2025. Revenue was $5.1 billion in 2025, primarily from multi-year committed... Read more

$115.81+1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#72 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $108.01Target $117.64(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$127.87+10.4%31 analysts
$117.64our TP
$115.81price
$127.87mean
$38
$295

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $115.81: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: NVIDIA GPUs
Target reached (1.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-209.1
Mkt Cap$60.3B
EV/EBITDA35.6
Profit Mgn-22.7%
ROE-50.3%
Rev Growth110.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts41

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.04bearish
IV113%elevated
Max Pain$35-69.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of top customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our revenue is driven by a limited number of our customers, and the loss of, or a significant reduction in, spending from one or a few of our top customers would adversely affect our business'
  • HIGHSupplierNVIDIA GPUs
    10-K Item 1A: 'all of the GPUs used in our infrastructure today are NVIDIA GPUs'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Current Ratio
1.8
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -90% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: 20 (fail)Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Value Rank
1.2
Growth Rank
9.9
Industry growth leader

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
2.4
Bollinger
3.4
Gap
5.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
2.2
Analyst Target
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings in 7 days
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $73.81Resistance $124.96

Price Targets

$108
$118
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRWV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $115.81: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $108.01. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRWV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.64 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $108.01. Stop-loss: $108.01.

What are the risks of investing in CRWV?

Concentration risk — Supplier: NVIDIA GPUs; Target reached (1.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is CRWV overvalued or undervalued?

CoreWeave, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -209.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CRWV?

41 analysts cover CRWV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $128.

What does CoreWeave, Inc. do?CoreWeave is a purpose-built AI cloud infrastructure provider operating 43 data centers with over 850 MW of active...

CoreWeave is a purpose-built AI cloud infrastructure provider operating 43 data centers with over 850 MW of active power and $60.7 billion in remaining performance obligations as of December 31, 2025. Revenue was $5.1 billion in 2025, primarily from multi-year committed take-or-pay contracts with AI labs, enterprises, and technology companies for GPU-accelerated compute.

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