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Canadian Natural Resources Limi (CNQ) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Canadian Natural Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in Western Canada, the United Kingdom sector of the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. The company... Read more

$49.00-2.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#31 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.23%
IncomeYield3.73%(5y avg 4.19%)Payout45.54%sustainable
Stop $46.49Target $47.99(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$45.62-6.9%4 analysts
$47.99our TP
$49.00price
$45.62mean
$41
$52

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Canadian Natural Resources Limi

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)13.3
Mkt Cap$102.1B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn25.1%
ROE22.8%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta0.91
Dividend3.73%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
0.5
52w Position
9.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
5.2
Quality Rank
7.4
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.23Resistance $48.97

Price Targets

$46
$48
A.Upside-2.1%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNQ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $47.99 (-2.1%), stop $46.49 (−5.4%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.99 (-2.0% upside). Target $47.99 (-2.1%), stop $46.49 (−5.4%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Stop-loss: $46.49.

What are the risks of investing in CNQ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is CNQ overvalued or undervalued?

Canadian Natural Resources Limi trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 13.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CNQ?

24 analysts cover CNQ with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Canadian Natural Resources Limi do?Canadian Natural Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and...

Canadian Natural Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in Western Canada, the United Kingdom sector of the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. The company offers synthetic crude oil (SCO), mining bitumen, light and medium crude oil and NGLs, thermal bitumen, primary heavy crude oil and Pelican Lake heavy crude oil. Its midstream assets include two crude oil pipeline systems; and a 50% working interest in an 84-megawatt cogeneration plant at Primrose. The company was formerly known as AEX Minerals Corporation and changed its name to Canadian Natural Resources Limited in December 1975. Canadian Natural Resources Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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