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CHCTCommunity Healthcare Trust IncoHold5.5·$13.53
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Community Healthcare Trust shows excellent cash conversion and an elite Rule of 40 score alongside a fresh bullish breakout, but the stock has already reached its price target near its 52-week high, carries a leverage penalty, and the engine's own risk/reward read is negative, so the setup favors trimming rather than adding until the target is reset or the risk/reward improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Target Reached Near 52wk High↓Deteriorating
  • Leverage Penalty↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Community Healthcare Trust Inco (CHCT) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $389M below $400M minimum.

Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated is a healthcare real estate investment trust that owns 198 properties across 36 states, primarily medical office buildings, inpatient rehabilitation facilities, and behavioral health facilities leased to hospitals, physicians, and other... Read more

$13.53+8.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#11 of 16 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield16.93%
IncomeYield12.88%(5y avg 6.69%)Payout288.64%
Stop $12.99Target $14.66(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$17.25+27.5%4 analysts
$14.66our TP
$13.53price
$17.25mean
$18

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $389M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $389M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202615d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $389M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.6
P/E (Fwd)34.0
Mkt Cap$389M
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn16.8%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta0.65
Dividend12.88%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerUS Healthvest7.3%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest tenants were US Healthvest which provided 7.3% and Lifepoint Health which provided 6.4% of our annualized rent.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas14%
    10-K Item 1: '26.7% of our annualized rent as of December 31, 2025 derived from properties located in Texas (14.3%) and Florida (12.4%).'
  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida12%
    10-K Item 1: '26.7% of our annualized rent as of December 31, 2025 derived from properties located in Texas (14.3%) and Florida (12.4%).'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.29Resistance $14.77

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+8.4%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $389M below $400M minimum
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHCT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $389M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $389M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $14.66 (+8.4%), stop $12.99 (−4.2%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHCT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.66 (+8.4% upside). Target $14.66 (+8.4%), stop $12.99 (−4.2%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $12.99.

What are the risks of investing in CHCT?

Market cap $389M below $400M minimum.

Is CHCT overvalued or undervalued?

Community Healthcare Trust Inco trades at a P/E of 20.6 (forward 34.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHCT?

11 analysts cover CHCT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Community Healthcare Trust Inco do?Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated is a healthcare real estate investment trust that owns 198 properties across 36...

Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated is a healthcare real estate investment trust that owns 198 properties across 36 states, primarily medical office buildings, inpatient rehabilitation facilities, and behavioral health facilities leased to hospitals, physicians, and other healthcare providers. As of December 31, 2025, the company held approximately $1.2 billion in gross real estate investments totaling 4.5 million square feet at 90.6% leased occupancy, with Texas and Florida together accounting for 26.7% of annualized rent and no single tenant exceeding 10%.

Related stocks: NHI (National Health Investors, Inc.) · LTC (LTC Properties, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · XRN (Chiron Real Estate Inc.) · UHT (Universal Health Realty Income )
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