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Pathward Financial, Inc. (CASH) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy term lending (60.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: limited program manager relationships.

Pathward Financial is a national bank holding company operating through two business lines: Partner Solutions (prepaid cards, payments, tax services) and Commercial Finance (working capital, equipment leases, structured finance). Net loans and leases totaled $4.61B as of... Read more

$80.57+13.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#110 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.25%(5y avg 0.36%)Payout2.38%sustainable
Stop $77.16Target $91.38(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$107.50+33.4%2 analysts
$91.38our TP
$80.57price
$107.50mean
$108

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy term lending (60.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: limited program manager relationships. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Pathward Financial, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy term lending (60.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: limited program manager relationships
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.6
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.3%
ROE22.8%
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta0.64
Dividend0.25%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$75-6.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliosolar/alternative energy term lending60%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of September 30, 2025, 60% of the term lending portfolio exposure is concentrated in solar/alternative energy, most of which are construction projects that will convert to longer term government guaranteed facilities upon completion of the construction phase.'
  • HIGHCustomerlimited program manager relationships
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant percentage of our deposits, total assets and income from deposit accounts that we generate through Payments’ customer relationships, of which a limited number of program manager relationships are particularly significant to our operations.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.6
Earnings Growth
3.3
Declining revenue: -4%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 25)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $79.55Resistance $100.72

Price Targets

$77
$91
A.Upside+13.4%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CASH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy term lending (60.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: limited program manager relationships. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $91.38 (+13.4%), stop $77.16 (−4.4%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CASH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.38 (+13.4% upside). Target $91.38 (+13.4%), stop $77.16 (−4.4%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $77.16.

What are the risks of investing in CASH?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: solar/alternative energy term lending (60.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: limited program manager relationships; Weak growth.

Is CASH overvalued or undervalued?

Pathward Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.6 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CASH?

9 analysts cover CASH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $108.

What does Pathward Financial, Inc. do?Pathward Financial is a national bank holding company operating through two business lines: Partner Solutions (prepaid...

Pathward Financial is a national bank holding company operating through two business lines: Partner Solutions (prepaid cards, payments, tax services) and Commercial Finance (working capital, equipment leases, structured finance). Net loans and leases totaled $4.61B as of September 30, 2025, with originations of $16.5B in fiscal 2025. The bank enables partners to deliver financial products to underserved consumers and small businesses.

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