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Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. (CAPR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.97: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Capricor Therapeutics is a pre-commercial biotechnology company developing Deramiocel, a cell therapy for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), with a BLA under FDA review targeting a PDUFA date of August 22, 2026. The company has no approved products and finances operations... Read more

$33.97+39.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#113 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $31.62Target $47.56(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$54.67+60.9%9 analysts
$47.56our TP
$33.97price
$54.67mean
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.97: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: donor hearts and other raw materials
Concentration risk — Customer: Nippon Shinyaku
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-52.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA-14.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-46.6%
Rev Growth
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV100%elevated
Max Pain$20-41.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierdonor hearts and other raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'the manufacturing of our product candidates is dependent on complex supply chains, including the availability of donor hearts and other raw materials that are critical'
  • HIGHCustomerNippon Shinyaku
    10-K Item 1A: 'we will depend on the ability of Nippon Shinyaku ... to successfully commercialize Deramiocel'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MEarnings in 13 days

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.91Resistance $36.82

Price Targets

$32
$48
A.Upside+40.0%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.97: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $31.62. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.56 (+39.9% upside). Prior stop was $31.62. Stop-loss: $31.62.

What are the risks of investing in CAPR?

Concentration risk — Supplier: donor hearts and other raw materials; Concentration risk — Customer: Nippon Shinyaku; Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is CAPR overvalued or undervalued?

Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -52.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAPR?

16 analysts cover CAPR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. do?Capricor Therapeutics is a pre-commercial biotechnology company developing Deramiocel, a cell therapy for Duchenne...

Capricor Therapeutics is a pre-commercial biotechnology company developing Deramiocel, a cell therapy for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), with a BLA under FDA review targeting a PDUFA date of August 22, 2026. The company has no approved products and finances operations through equity offerings, government grants, and distribution agreement payments.

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