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Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. (CAPR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.01: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.76; Below-average business quality.

Capricor Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing cell and exosome-based therapies for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, with its lead asset deramiocel under FDA BLA review with a PDUFA target action date of August 22, 2026.

$29.01+62.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#127 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-4.52%
Stop $26.98Target $47.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$54.11+86.5%9 analysts
$47.08our TP
$29.01price
$54.11mean
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.01: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.76; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Capricor Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-35.2
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA-11.0
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-56.4%
Rev Growth
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C2.76bearish
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$5-82.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 7.8% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.5
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 20%Elevated put/call: 2.76High IV: 88%Above max pain $5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.7
Uptrend pullback (RSI 38) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.60Resistance $35.85

Price Targets

$27
$47
A.Upside+62.3%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $29.01: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10 and A.R:R 4.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.76; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $26.98. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.08 (+62.3% upside). Prior stop was $26.98. Stop-loss: $26.98.

What are the risks of investing in CAPR?

Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is CAPR overvalued or undervalued?

Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -35.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAPR?

15 analysts cover CAPR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. do?Capricor Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing cell and exosome-based...

Capricor Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing cell and exosome-based therapies for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, with its lead asset deramiocel under FDA BLA review with a PDUFA target action date of August 22, 2026.

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