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Calix, Inc (CALX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $39.86 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Calix is a cloud and software platform company providing broadband network access, subscriber success, and revenue intelligence solutions to community broadband service providers. The company's SaaS-based platform enables mid-size and small ISPs to compete against large carriers... Read more

$39.86+44.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#30 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.92%
Stop $38.14Target $57.42(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.7:1
Analyst target$66.00+65.6%6 analysts
$57.42our TP
$39.86price
$66.00mean
$85

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $39.86 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Calix, Inc

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 44%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)82.1
P/E (Fwd)16.1
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA40.6
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE4.5%
Rev Growth27.1%
Beta1.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.6
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.32Resistance $46.03

Price Targets

$38
$57
A.Upside+44.1%
A.R:R5.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CALX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $39.86 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $38.14. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

What is the CALX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.42 (+44.1% upside). Prior stop was $38.14. Stop-loss: $38.14.

What are the risks of investing in CALX?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.

Is CALX overvalued or undervalued?

Calix, Inc trades at a P/E of 82.1 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CALX?

14 analysts cover CALX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Calix, Inc do?Calix is a cloud and software platform company providing broadband network access, subscriber success, and revenue...

Calix is a cloud and software platform company providing broadband network access, subscriber success, and revenue intelligence solutions to community broadband service providers. The company's SaaS-based platform enables mid-size and small ISPs to compete against large carriers through AI-driven subscriber insights.

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