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Caris Life Sciences, Inc. (CAI) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: MI Profile (84.4%); Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Caris Life Sciences provides comprehensive molecular profiling and precision medicine solutions focused on oncology, with its MI Profile platform (whole exome and transcriptome sequencing) accounting for 84.4% of 2025 revenue from over 1,000,000 sequenced cases. The company... Read more

$18.79+37.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#24 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $17.43Target $25.83(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$29.69+58.0%13 analysts
$25.83our TP
$18.79price
$29.69mean
$38

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: MI Profile (84.4%); Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 38%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: MI Profile (84.4%)
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)47.2
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA68.7
Profit Mgn-8.4%
ROE-45.4%
Rev Growth125.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV110%elevated
Max Pain$15-20.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductMI Profile84%
    10-K Item 1A: 'MI Profile, our tissue-based profiling solution, which accounted for 84.4% of our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-02Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Caris entered $400M initial term loan plus $300M delayed draw credit facility with Blue Owl Capital and Blackstone as lenders, effective April 1, 2026. Unconditionally guaranteed by certain subsidiaries. No reason cited for prior credit arrangement termination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
5.6
Earnings in 7 days
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.39Resistance $22.16

Price Targets

$17
$26
A.Upside+37.5%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: MI Profile (84.4%); Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $25.83 (+37.5%), stop $17.43 (−7.8%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.83 (+37.8% upside). Target $25.83 (+37.5%), stop $17.43 (−7.8%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $17.43.

What are the risks of investing in CAI?

Concentration risk — Product: MI Profile (84.4%); Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is CAI overvalued or undervalued?

Caris Life Sciences, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 47.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CAI?

14 analysts cover CAI with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Caris Life Sciences, Inc. do?Caris Life Sciences provides comprehensive molecular profiling and precision medicine solutions focused on oncology,...

Caris Life Sciences provides comprehensive molecular profiling and precision medicine solutions focused on oncology, with its MI Profile platform (whole exome and transcriptome sequencing) accounting for 84.4% of 2025 revenue from over 1,000,000 sequenced cases. The company serves oncologists, biopharma partners, and academic centers; Caris Assure and Caris Detect blood-based solutions are under commercialization.

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