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BXSLBlackstone Secured Lending FundSell5.7·$24.68-1.32%
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Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.68 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: secured debt investments (80.0%).

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund is a Delaware statutory trust BDC externally managed by Blackstone affiliates, investing primarily in first lien senior secured and unitranche loans to U.S. private companies. The fund generates income from floating-rate senior secured loans and... Read more

$24.68-13.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#99 of 235 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield7.11%
IncomeYield12.32%Payout242.52%at-risk
Stop $23.60Target $28.38(default +15%)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$24.66-0.1%11 analysts
$28.38our TP
$24.68price
$24.66mean
$22
$28

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.68 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: secured debt investments (80.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: secured debt investments (80.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.7
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn21.5%
ROE4.8%
Rev Growth-7.1%
Beta0.42
Dividend12.32%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductsecured debt investments80%
    10-K Item 1: 'we generally invest at least 80% of our total assets (net assets plus borrowings for investment purposes) in secured debt investments'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.1
Quality Rank
3.1
Value Rank
4.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
7.0
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.71Resistance $25.07

Price Targets

$24
$28
A.Upside-13.1%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BXSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.68 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: secured debt investments (80.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $23.60. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BXSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.38 (-13.1% upside). Prior stop was $23.60. Stop-loss: $23.60.

What are the risks of investing in BXSL?

Concentration risk — Product: secured debt investments (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is BXSL overvalued or undervalued?

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund trades at a P/E of 19.7 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BXSL?

18 analysts cover BXSL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Blackstone Secured Lending Fund do?Blackstone Secured Lending Fund is a Delaware statutory trust BDC externally managed by Blackstone affiliates,...

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund is a Delaware statutory trust BDC externally managed by Blackstone affiliates, investing primarily in first lien senior secured and unitranche loans to U.S. private companies. The fund generates income from floating-rate senior secured loans and distributes substantially all available earnings quarterly. Blackstone Credit & Insurance, the external adviser, managed $443 billion in AUM as of December 31, 2025.

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