Skip to main content
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

BXP shows improving earnings delivery and exceptional cash generation, but price has essentially reached the analyst target with only 0.2% remaining upside, a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.04-to-1, and an overbought technical reading alongside a flagged material disclosure — conditions that argue for patience rather than adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Delivery Improving↑Improving
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Price At Analyst Target↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BXP, Inc. (BXP) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Office

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $62.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: six gateway markets; Concentration risk — Property Type: premier workplace buildings.

BXP is a self-managed office REIT owning 179 commercial properties totaling approximately 52.6 million net rentable square feet, concentrated in six gateway markets: Boston, Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco, Seattle, and Washington, DC. Revenue comes primarily from long-term... Read more

$62.27+10.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#13 of 17 REIT - Office
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.81%
IncomeYield4.35%(5y avg 5.30%)Payout150.54%
Stop $59.87Target $68.72(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$76.35+22.6%20 analysts
$68.72our TP
$62.27price
$76.35mean
$91

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $62.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: six gateway markets; Concentration risk — Property Type: premier workplace buildings. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and 8k serious 2.06. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: six gateway markets
Concentration risk — Property Type: premier workplace buildings
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.6
P/E (Fwd)28.1
Mkt Cap$11.3B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE5.3%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta1.03
Dividend4.35%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicsix gateway markets
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our revenue is derived from properties located in six markets: Boston, Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco, Seattle and Washington, DC.'
  • HIGHPropertypremier workplace buildings
    10-K Item 1A: 'our portfolio consists primarily of premier workplace buildings (as compared to a more diversified real estate portfolio)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-29Item 2.06MEDIUM
    BXP disclosed material impairment on Sumner Square (three DC buildings: 1615 M Street, 1625 M Street, and 1215 17th Street NW), agreed to sell for $63 million gross; carrying value exceeds expected net proceeds. Consistent with September 2025 Investor Day strategic asset sales plan.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.4

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
2.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.58K SERIOUS 2.06A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
22 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.72Resistance $70.72

Price Targets

$60
$69
A.Upside+10.4%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.06

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BXP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $62.27 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: six gateway markets; Concentration risk — Property Type: premier workplace buildings. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $59.87. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the BXP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $68.72 (+10.4% upside). Prior stop was $59.87. Stop-loss: $59.87.

What are the risks of investing in BXP?

Concentration risk — Geographic: six gateway markets; Concentration risk — Property Type: premier workplace buildings; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Is BXP overvalued or undervalued?

BXP, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.6 (forward 28.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BXP?

26 analysts cover BXP with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $76.

What does BXP, Inc. do?BXP is a self-managed office REIT owning 179 commercial properties totaling approximately 52.6 million net rentable...

BXP is a self-managed office REIT owning 179 commercial properties totaling approximately 52.6 million net rentable square feet, concentrated in six gateway markets: Boston, Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco, Seattle, and Washington, DC. Revenue comes primarily from long-term leases on premier workplaces, with a weighted-average lease term of 7.9 years and 61% pre-leasing on 3.5 million square feet under construction as of February 2026.

Related stocks: CDP (COPT Defense Properties) · CUZ (Cousins Properties Incorporated) · SLG (SL Green Realty Corp) · HIW (Highwoods Properties, Inc.) · OGCP (Empire State Realty OP, L.P. Se)
Home › Stocks › BXP

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga4d agoCONCERNAnalyst
Yahoo Finance65d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail65d ago
Sahm65d agoProduct
TradingView156d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance156d agoEarnings
Zacks Investment Research156d agoEarnings
Business Wire100d ago
MarketWatch100d ago
TradingKey100d ago
Investing.com Australia59d agoEarnings
TradingView60d ago
Marketscreener.com150d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com150d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com150d agoEarnings
Business Wire150d agoEarnings
MSN150d ago
GuruFocus66d agoAnalyst
The Motley Fool157d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail157d agoEarnings
Loading more...