Skip to main content
BWMNBowman Consulting Group Ltd.Sell5.7·$42.15-0.52%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BWMN combines a strong earnings and cash-conversion track record with a confirmed technical downtrend and failed momentum gate, creating a split between fundamental strength and near-term price weakness.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Cheap ValuationStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Momentum FailureImproving
  • Strong Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Sell(was: Hold)GrowthAI GATE: BLOCKED Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Bowman Consulting Group is a professional services firm providing engineering, planning, program management, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging and surveying services to public and private infrastructure owners, operating from more than 135 U.S. locations and four... Read more

$42.15-6.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#22 of 33 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.17%
Stop $39.26Target $48.55(default +15%)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$45.40+7.7%5 analysts
$48.55our TP
$42.15price
$45.40mean
$40
$58

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 90. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.53)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
Overbought (RSI 90)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)68.3
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$734M
EV/EBITDA21.5
Profit Mgn1.4%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth19.7%
Beta1.37
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV74%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Legal Officer, Secretary and EVP Robert Hickey announced his retirement effective December 31, 2026 and resigned his officer roles effective May 1, 2026, continuing as Senior Legal Advisor; not due to any disagreement with the company. Elizabeth Abdoo was appointed to succeed him.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
8.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Value Rank
3.1
Growth Rank
4.5
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
90 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.07Resistance $42.50

Price Targets

$39
$49
A.Upside-6.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BWMN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 90. Prior stop was $39.26. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BWMN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.55 (-6.4% upside). Prior stop was $39.26. Stop-loss: $39.26.

What are the risks of investing in BWMN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Overbought (RSI 90).

Is BWMN overvalued or undervalued?

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 68.3 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BWMN?

13 analysts cover BWMN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. do?Bowman Consulting Group is a professional services firm providing engineering, planning, program management,...

Bowman Consulting Group is a professional services firm providing engineering, planning, program management, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging and surveying services to public and private infrastructure owners, operating from more than 135 U.S. locations and four offices in Mexico. The company generated $490 million in gross contract revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, with approximately 30% from public-sector customers and 73% from repeat customers, supported by a workforce of over 2,300 employees and a backlog of roughly 10,000 active projects worth approximately $479 mi

Related stocks: ECG (Everus Construction Group, Inc.) · WLDN (Willdan Group, Inc.) · CDLR (Cadeler A/S) · CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group I) · MYRG (MYR Group, Inc.)
Home Stocks BWMN

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga4d ago
Benzinga4d ago
News.futunn.com9d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance8d agoEarnings
Dars.gov.et12d ago
Quiver Quantitative6d agoEarnings
Dars.gov.et13d ago
GuruFocus4d ago
StocksToTrade4d agoEarnings
Timothysykes.com4d agoEarnings
WBOC TV4d agoMerger Acquisition
Yahoo Finance4d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance4d ago
The Manila Times4d agoMerger Acquisition
MarketBeat11d agoEarnings
TradingView11d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance7d agoEarnings
TradingView7d agoEarnings
TradingKey7d agoEarnings
Benzinga3d ago
Loading more...