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BWMNBowman Consulting Group Ltd.Buy Wait5.1·$42.90
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Bowman Consulting shows strong cash conversion, growth and a 3-of-4 earnings beat streak, but the price is 12.7% above the analyst target, quality is below average and insiders are selling.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Growth→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthHigh Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $42.84. Price sits above the model's entry target of $42.84; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Bowman Consulting Group is a professional services firm providing engineering, planning, program management, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging and surveying services to public and private infrastructure owners, operating from more than 135 U.S. locations and four... Read more

$42.90-12.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#26 of 33 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.09%
Entry $42.84(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $42.72Analyst target $37.41(reached)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst consensus$43.00+0.2%5 analysts
Range unavailable (5 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $42.84. Price sits above the model's entry target of $42.84; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)104.6
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$712M
EV/EBITDA21.8
Profit Mgn1.4%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth19.7%
Beta1.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV56%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Legal Officer, Secretary and EVP Robert Hickey announced his retirement effective December 31, 2026 and resigned his officer roles effective May 1, 2026, continuing as Senior Legal Advisor; not due to any disagreement with the company. Elizabeth Abdoo was appointed to succeed him.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Value Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
3.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
8.7
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.37%=HEAVYEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.8>=5.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $42.65Resistance $42.95

Price Targets

A.Upside-12.8%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.8% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BWMN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $42.84. Price sits above the model's entry target of $42.84; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $37.41 reached (−12.8%), stop $42.72 (−0.4%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the BWMN stock price target?

Analyst target $37.41 reached (−12.8% from $42.90); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $37.41 reached (−12.8%), stop $42.72 (−0.4%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $42.72.

What are the risks of investing in BWMN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

Is BWMN overvalued or undervalued?

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 104.6 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BWMN?

11 analysts cover BWMN with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. do?Bowman Consulting Group is a professional services firm providing engineering, planning, program management,...

Bowman Consulting Group is a professional services firm providing engineering, planning, program management, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging and surveying services to public and private infrastructure owners, operating from more than 135 U.S. locations and four offices in Mexico. The company generated $490 million in gross contract revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, with approximately 30% from public-sector customers and 73% from repeat customers, supported by a workforce of over 2,300 employees and a backlog of roughly 10,000 active projects worth approximately $479 mi

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