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BWMNBowman Consulting Group Ltd.Sell5.0·$42.60+0.00%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

BWMN combines a strong earnings and cash-conversion track record with a confirmed technical downtrend and failed momentum gate, creating a split between fundamental strength and near-term price weakness.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Cheap ValuationStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Momentum FailureStable
  • Strong Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthHigh Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

Bowman Consulting Group is a professional services firm providing engineering, planning, program management, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging and surveying services to public and private infrastructure owners, operating from more than 135 U.S. locations and four... Read more

$42.60-12.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#27 of 33 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.94%
Stop $42.32Target $48.99(default +15%)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$43.00+0.9%5 analysts
Range unavailable (5 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)101.4
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$738M
EV/EBITDA21.7
Profit Mgn1.4%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth19.7%
Beta1.37
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV66%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Legal Officer, Secretary and EVP Robert Hickey announced his retirement effective December 31, 2026 and resigned his officer roles effective May 1, 2026, continuing as Senior Legal Advisor; not due to any disagreement with the company. Elizabeth Abdoo was appointed to succeed him.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
2.4
Growth Rank
4.5

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Erm Sentiment
0.0
Analyst Rating
5.0
Price Target
5.1
Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-40.9%)
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.82Resistance $42.64

Price Targets

$42
$49
A.Upside-12.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.2% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BWMN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $42.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $42.32. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the BWMN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.99 (-12.2% upside). Prior stop was $42.32. Stop-loss: $42.32.

What are the risks of investing in BWMN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is BWMN overvalued or undervalued?

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 101.4 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BWMN?

11 analysts cover BWMN with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. do?Bowman Consulting Group is a professional services firm providing engineering, planning, program management,...

Bowman Consulting Group is a professional services firm providing engineering, planning, program management, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging and surveying services to public and private infrastructure owners, operating from more than 135 U.S. locations and four offices in Mexico. The company generated $490 million in gross contract revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, with approximately 30% from public-sector customers and 73% from repeat customers, supported by a workforce of over 2,300 employees and a backlog of roughly 10,000 active projects worth approximately $479 mi

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