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BWMNBowman Consulting Group Ltd.Sell5.3·$28.68+0.09%
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Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.68 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., provides engineering, technical consulting, and program management services in the United States. The company offers planning, engineering, program management, commissioning, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging, surveying, land procurement,... Read more

$28.68+46.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#20 of 32 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.21%
Stop $27.38Target $42.05(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.9:1
Analyst target$48.33+68.5%6 analysts
$42.05our TP
$28.68price
$48.33mean
$58

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.68 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.3
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$502M
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE4.4%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV97%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.4
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.9
Growth Rank
3.8
Value Rank
5.8
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)INSIDER 0.18%=MODERATEA.R:R 5.9 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.23Resistance $33.35

Price Targets

$27
$42
A.Upside+46.6%
A.R:R5.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BWMN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.68 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 25, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $27.38. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BWMN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.05 (+46.6% upside). Prior stop was $27.38. Stop-loss: $27.38.

What are the risks of investing in BWMN?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BWMN overvalued or undervalued?

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 46.3 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BWMN?

13 analysts cover BWMN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. do?Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., provides engineering, technical consulting, and program management services in the United...

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd., provides engineering, technical consulting, and program management services in the United States. The company offers planning, engineering, program management, commissioning, environmental consulting, geospatial imaging, surveying, land procurement, and other infrastructure management services. It also provides site and civil design and planning, structural engineering, landscape architecture, mechanical, electrical and plumbing, fire prevention engineering, construction management, procurement and oversight, program and asset management, and environmental consulting; LNG pipeline systems, power generation facility design, utility undergrounding, grid resiliency planning, mission critical planning, data center feasibility and design, bridging power design and procurement, utility scale on-site energization, grid interconnect engineering, and transmission corridor design; and road, highway and bridge design, ports and harbors engineering, asset controls, aviation facility engineering, logistics management, bridge inspections and underwater assessments, easement acquisition, and ADA compliance and certifications solutions. In addition, the company offers ALTA boundary, topographic, route, and land title surveys, as well as right of way mapping and underground utility location services; drone inspection of transmission lines, high altitude aerial orthoimaging, laser scanning and LiDAR imaging, reality capture, GIS map, digital underwater scanning and survey, marine asset condition assessment, and hydrology and geoscience; and land services. Further, it provides digital delivery and advisory services, such as GIS-enabled asset control kits, AI-enabled feasibility and due diligence studies, asset conditions monitoring and controls, predictive lifecycle cost analysis, rate studies, and interactive digital twin. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

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