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BWLPBW LPG LimitedHold5.9·$24.23
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An attractive valuation — PEG near zero and a stated 42% margin of safety — and a constructive breakout technical structure provide support for a long thesis, but declining revenue, a dividend yield flagged as potentially uncovered, and upside to the price target already fully consumed limit the immediate return profile and argue for holding rather than adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Decline And Yield Risk→Stable
  • Deep Value Margin Of Safety→Stable
  • Breakout Technical Structure↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BW LPG Limited (BWLP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

BW LPG Limited, an investment holding company, engages in ship owning and chartering activities worldwide. It operates through Shipping and Product Services segments. The company engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG); provision of integrated LPG delivery... Read more

$24.23+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#31 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.76%
IncomeYield10.76%(5y avg 15.44%)Payout63.27%
Stop $22.73Target $25.94(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 45%
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.3
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE25.5%
Rev Growth-3.1%
Beta0.11
Dividend10.76%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.06Resistance $26.47

Price Targets

$23
$26
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for BWLP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BWLP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $25.94 (+7.1%), stop $22.73 (−6.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BWLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.94 (+7.1% upside). Target $25.94 (+7.1%), stop $22.73 (−6.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $22.73.

What are the risks of investing in BWLP?

Negative momentum.

Is BWLP overvalued or undervalued?

BW LPG Limited trades at a P/E of 8.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BWLP?

16 analysts cover BWLP with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does BW LPG Limited do?BW LPG Limited, an investment holding company, engages in ship owning and chartering activities worldwide. It operates...

BW LPG Limited, an investment holding company, engages in ship owning and chartering activities worldwide. It operates through Shipping and Product Services segments. The company engages in the transportation of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG); provision of integrated LPG delivery services, as well as management services; wholesale and trade of LPG; and investment in commercial enterprises. As of December 31, 2025, it owned and operated a fleet of 54 vessels, including 28 very large gas carriers, 7 large gas carriers time chartered in by product services, and 8 VLGCs owned by BW LPG India Pte. Ltd. BW LPG Limited was formerly known as BW Gas LPG Holding Limited and changed its name to BW LPG Limited in September 2013. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Related stocks: TRMD (TORM plc) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.)
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