Burford Capital Limited (BUR) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Financial Services · Asset Management
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.43, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.97B below $1B minimum.
Burford Capital is a global legal finance provider offering non-recourse capital to businesses and law firms engaged in large, complex litigation, managing a group-wide portfolio of $7.5B. Revenue comes from returns on resolved litigation matters, which are inherently volatile... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.43, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.97B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Market cap $0.97B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Burford Capital Limited
Latest news
- NEWS BUR stock sinks 37% following reports of a US appeals court ruling — what is the Argentina connection? - MSN — MSN negative
- NEWS Earnings Preview: Burford Capital Limited (BUR) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Burford Capital (BUR) Is Down 5.6% After YPF Ruling Spurs Downgrade And Financing Concerns - Has The Bull Case Changed? — simplywall.st negative
- NEWS Burford Announces Date for Release of 1Q26 Financial Results and Results Call Registration and Participation Details - m — marketscreener.com neutral
- NEWS Burford Announces Date for Release of 1Q26 Financial Results and Results Call Registration and Participation Details - M — Morningstar neutral
Generated 2026-06-09T22:11:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerprivate funds with a single investor10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our AUM is attributable to private funds with a single investor.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUMAviva Will, President, will cease serving as President and instead serve as Vice Chair effective March 11, 2026; she will no longer be an executive officer. Receives $1M annual salary and retention payments. No replacement named for President role.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $4.43, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.97B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Market cap $0.97B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $7.55 (+70.4%), stop $4.12 (−7.5%), A.R:R 6.8:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $7.55 (+70.4% upside). Target $7.55 (+70.4%), stop $4.12 (−7.5%), A.R:R 6.8:1. Stop-loss: $4.12.
Market cap $0.97B below $1B minimum.
Burford Capital Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
12 analysts cover BUR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $9.
What does Burford Capital Limited do?Burford Capital is a global legal finance provider offering non-recourse capital to businesses and law firms engaged in...
Burford Capital is a global legal finance provider offering non-recourse capital to businesses and law firms engaged in large, complex litigation, managing a group-wide portfolio of $7.5B. Revenue comes from returns on resolved litigation matters, which are inherently volatile and period-to-period unpredictable. Since inception in 2009, Burford has made commitments exceeding $12.1B.