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BOWBowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.Hold6.0·$31.48+0.90%
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Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 80).

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. provides commercial specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. It underwrites casualty insurance solutions for risks in the construction, distribution, heavy manufacturing, real estate, and hospitality segments;... Read more

$31.48+0.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#10 of 40 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-2.80%
Stop $29.34Target $31.51(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$31.43-0.2%7 analysts
$31.51our TP
$31.48price
$31.43mean
$28
$35

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 80). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Overbought (RSI 80)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.2
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE13.7%
Rev Growth26.9%
Beta-0.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
6.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.4
Quality Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
8.3
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.01Resistance $32.15

Price Targets

$29
$32
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BOW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $31.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 80). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $31.51 (+0.1%), stop $29.34 (−7.3%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BOW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.51 (+0.1% upside). Target $31.51 (+0.1%), stop $29.34 (−7.3%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $29.34.

What are the risks of investing in BOW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 80).

Is BOW overvalued or undervalued?

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.2 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BOW?

12 analysts cover BOW with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. do?Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. provides commercial specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United...

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. provides commercial specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. It underwrites casualty insurance solutions for risks in the construction, distribution, heavy manufacturing, real estate, and hospitality segments; professional liability insurance solutions, including directors and officers liability, errors and omissions liability, employment practices liability, fiduciary liability, fidelity liability and miscellaneous professional liability, crime insurance, and cyber for financial institutions; and healthcare solutions for hospitals, senior care providers, managed care organizations, miscellaneous medical facilities, and management liability segments. In addition, it offers Baleen Specialty, a technology-powered underwriting operation, that specializes in small to mid-sized risks that are not eligible in the admitted market. It distributes its products through distribution partners in wholesale and retail markets. The company was formerly known as Bowhead Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. in March 2024. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in New York, New York.

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