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Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.68 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources.

Bausch + Lomb is a fully integrated global eye health company with approximately 400 products across Vision Care, Pharmaceuticals, and Surgical segments, operating in approximately 100 countries with approximately 13,000 employees. Approximately 88% owned by Bausch Health... Read more

$15.68+1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#12 of 25 Medical Instruments & Supplies
Stop $14.80Target $15.96(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$18.35+17.0%13 analysts
$15.96our TP
$15.68price
$18.35mean
$15
$21

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.68 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn-7.1%
ROE-5.4%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta0.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C3.63bearish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$7-55.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle source or limited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products or components thereof are available from a single source or a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.2
Macd
2.4
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
4.1
Value Rank
8.3
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.26Resistance $17.12

Price Targets

$15
$16
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.68 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $14.80. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.96 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $14.80. Stop-loss: $14.80.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BLCO?

19 analysts cover BLCO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb is a fully integrated global eye health company with approximately 400 products across Vision Care,...

Bausch + Lomb is a fully integrated global eye health company with approximately 400 products across Vision Care, Pharmaceuticals, and Surgical segments, operating in approximately 100 countries with approximately 13,000 employees. Approximately 88% owned by Bausch Health Companies Inc., with active separation process ongoing.

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