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BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationSell5.5·$20.60
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bausch + Lomb is free-cash-flow positive with a perfect 9/9 Piotroski score and strong momentum after a +54.7% earnings beat, but price is 5.9% above the analyst target and the business is concentrated in vision care with limited-source suppliers.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Positive Despite Gaap Loss↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat Momentum↑Improving
  • Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. At $20.60, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources.

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company... Read more

$20.60-8.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#15 of 29 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.49%
Stop $19.16Analyst target $18.89(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$21.71+5.4%14 analysts with price targets
$20.60price
$21.71mean
$18
$26

Sell if holding. At $20.60, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 27, 2026

Recent Developments — Bausch + Lomb Corporation

Latest item Oct 27, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 17, 2027103d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)17.3
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn-2.0%
ROE-1.6%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.52
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVision Care segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'Vision Care | | $ | 2,923 | | | 57 | % ... Total revenues | | $ | 5,101 | | | 100 | %'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source or limited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products or components thereof are available from a single source or a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 103d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
89 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.47Resistance $21.36

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-17 (103d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $20.60, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.16. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Analyst target $18.89 reached (−8.3% from $20.60); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $19.16. Stop-loss: $19.16.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BLCO?

19 analysts rate BLCO, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 14 analysts publish price targets averaging $22.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products...

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company generated $5.1 billion in total revenues in 2025 across approximately 13,000 employees globally.

Related stocks: STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · ALGN (Align Technology, Inc.)
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