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BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationHold5.6·$18.04-0.55%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bausch + Lomb screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 13.9x with a PEG of 0.05, and generates positive free cash flow despite reporting a GAAP loss — a signal that economic earnings are stronger than reported income. The primary near-term risks are declining volume momentum and a 57% revenue concentration in the Vision Care segment.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Positive Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Near Zero Peg Deep ValueDeteriorating
  • Declining Volume Momentum OverhangImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources.

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company... Read more

$18.04-10.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#11 of 30 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.01%
Stop $17.16Target $20.75(default +15%)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$18.63+3.2%12 analysts
$20.75our TP
$18.04price
$18.63mean
$16
$23

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn-3.2%
ROE-2.5%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV120%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVision Care segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'Vision Care | | $ | 2,923 | | | 57 | % ... Total revenues | | $ | 5,101 | | | 100 | %'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source or limited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products or components thereof are available from a single source or a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.28Resistance $18.46

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside-10.2%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $20.75 (+15.0%), stop $17.16 (−5.1%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.75 (-10.2% upside). Target $20.75 (+15.0%), stop $17.16 (−5.1%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $17.16.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BLCO?

18 analysts cover BLCO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products...

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company generated $5.1 billion in total revenues in 2025 across approximately 13,000 employees globally.

Related stocks: STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · ATRC (AtriCure, Inc.) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · MMED (MiniMed Group, Inc.)
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