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BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationSell5.6·$16.86
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bausch + Lomb screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 13.9x with a PEG of 0.05, and generates positive free cash flow despite reporting a GAAP loss — a signal that economic earnings are stronger than reported income. The primary near-term risks are declining volume momentum and a 57% revenue concentration in the Vision Care segment.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Positive Despite Gaap Loss→Stable
  • Near Zero Peg Deep Value→Stable
  • Declining Volume Momentum Overhang↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. At $16.86, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources.

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company... Read more

$16.86-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#15 of 30 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.38%
Stop $16.10Target $18.09(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$19.04+12.9%13 analysts
$18.09our TP
$16.86price
$19.04mean
$16
$24

Sell if holding. At $16.86, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn-3.2%
ROE-2.5%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVision Care segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'Vision Care | | $ | 2,923 | | | 57 | % ... Total revenues | | $ | 5,101 | | | 100 | %'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source or limited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products or components thereof are available from a single source or a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
2.1
Ma Position
4.0
Obv
4.3
Rsi
8.3
Uptrend pullback (RSI 32) - buy opportunityAbove 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.60Resistance $18.46

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $16.86, A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.10. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.09 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $16.10. Stop-loss: $16.10.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BLCO?

18 analysts cover BLCO with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products...

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company generated $5.1 billion in total revenues in 2025 across approximately 13,000 employees globally.

Related stocks: STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · LMAT (LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated)
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