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BLCOBausch + Lomb CorporationBuy Wait5.9·$16.17+1.19%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bausch + Lomb screens attractively valued at a forward P/E of 13.9x with a PEG of 0.05, and generates positive free cash flow despite reporting a GAAP loss — a signal that economic earnings are stronger than reported income. The primary near-term risks are declining volume momentum and a 57% revenue concentration in the Vision Care segment.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Positive Despite Gaap LossStable
  • Near Zero Peg Deep ValueStable
  • Declining Volume Momentum OverhangDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bausch + Lomb Corporation (BLCO) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Earnings in 2 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $15.97. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $16.17. Engine's entry $15.97 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources.

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company... Read more

$16.17-2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#12 of 32 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.14%
Entry $15.97(support + ATR)Stop $15.27Target $17.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$18.14+12.2%11 analysts
$17.11our TP
$16.17price
$18.14mean
$21

Wait for pullback to $15.97. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $16.17. Engine's entry $15.97 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn-4.2%
ROE-3.3%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVision Care segment57%
    10-K Item 1: 'Vision Care | | $ | 2,923 | | | 57 | % ... Total revenues | | $ | 5,101 | | | 100 | %'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source or limited number of sources
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products or components thereof are available from a single source or a limited number of sources'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.74Resistance $17.46

Price Targets

$15
$16
$17
A.Upside-2.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.4% upside)
! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLCO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $15.97. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $16.17. Engine's entry $15.97 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $17.11 (+5.8%), stop $15.27 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.11 (-2.4% upside). Target $17.11 (+5.8%), stop $15.27 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $15.27.

What are the risks of investing in BLCO?

Concentration risk — Product: Vision Care segment (57.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source or limited number of sources; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is BLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch + Lomb Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about BLCO?

18 analysts cover BLCO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Bausch + Lomb Corporation do?Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products...

Bausch + Lomb makes contact lenses, ophthalmic pharmaceuticals, surgical equipment, and consumer eye care products across three segments — Vision Care (57% of 2025 revenue), Pharmaceuticals (25%), and Surgical (18%) — with a presence in roughly 100 countries. The company generated $5.1 billion in total revenues in 2025 across approximately 13,000 employees globally.

Related stocks: STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · RMD (ResMed Inc.)
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