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APPNAppian CorporationHold5.7·$22.80-2.02%
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Appian Corporation (APPN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Appian platform; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS.

Appian provides a process automation software platform for large enterprises and governments, generating $726.9 million in revenue in 2025. U.S. federal government agencies represented 25.3% of total revenue; approximately 38% of revenue came from customers outside the United... Read more

$22.80+19.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#36 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.17%
Stop $21.20Target $27.21(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$26.20+14.9%5 analysts
$27.21our TP
$22.80price
$26.20mean
$37

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Appian platform; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Appian Corporation

About Appian Corporation

Appian's process automation platform generated $726.9 million in revenue in 2025, up from $617.0 million in 2024 and $545.4 million in 2023. U.S. federal government agencies represented 25.3% of total revenue in 2025, rising from 21.3% in 2023, and approximately 38% of total revenue came from customers outside the United States. The number of customers paying over $1 million in annual recurring revenue grew from 115 at year-end 2024 to 140 at year-end 2025. As of December 31, 2025, Appian had 2,149 employees globally, with 1,383 based in the United States.

Appian sells its platform almost exclusively as subscriptions, targeting organizations with over 2,000 employees and $2 billion in annual revenue. Key industry verticals — financial services, government, life sciences, insurance, and manufacturing — collectively accounted for approximately 80% of subscriptions revenue in 2025. The go-to-market combines direct enterprise sales with a partner channel including Accenture, Capgemini, Deloitte, Indra Group, KPMG, and PwC. Applications built on the platform can only be used with an active Appian subscription, creating switching costs that support retention. Cloud deployments run on AWS, which the company relies upon exclusively to operate its cloud offering. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of total revenue in 2025. Appian held 28 granted patents at December 31, 2025, with none expiring before 2034, and the platform operates across 16 countries, 39 regions, and 123 availability zones.

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Appian's U.S. federal government revenue (25.3% of total revenue in 2025) exposes the company to appropriations cycle risk: the United States has previously experienced lapses in federal appropriations, and changes in administration priorities may affect agency budgets and technology spending. Executive orders may impose new compliance requirements after contract signing. Separately, the company's cloud offering runs exclusively on AWS; any disruption to AWS services could adversely affect the company's ability to serve cloud subscribers and materially harm business results.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Appian Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Appian platform
Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1163.5
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA71.0
Profit Mgn0.1%
ROE
Rev Growth21.5%
Beta0.86
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$35+53.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. federal government agencies25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'revenue from U.S. federal government agencies represented 25.3%, 23.9%, and 21.3% of our total revenue, respectively'
  • HIGHProductAppian platform
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales of our software platform account for substantially all of our subscriptions revenue and are the source of substantially all of our professional services revenue'
  • HIGHSupplierAWS
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely upon AWS to operate our cloud offering; any disruption of or interference with our use of AWS would adversely affect our business, results of operations, and financial condition'
  • MEDIUMGeographiccustomers outside of the United States38%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 38% of our total revenue was generated from customers outside of the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.3
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=-0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.32Resistance $27.77

Price Targets

$21
$27
A.Upside+19.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.0% upside)
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APPN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Appian platform; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $27.21 (+19.3%), stop $21.20 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.21 (+19.3% upside). Target $27.21 (+19.3%), stop $21.20 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $21.20.

What are the risks of investing in APPN?

Concentration risk — Product: Appian platform; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is APPN overvalued or undervalued?

Appian Corporation trades at a P/E of 1163.5 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about APPN?

13 analysts cover APPN with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Appian Corporation do?Appian provides a process automation software platform for large enterprises and governments, generating $726.9 million...

Appian provides a process automation software platform for large enterprises and governments, generating $726.9 million in revenue in 2025. U.S. federal government agencies represented 25.3% of total revenue; approximately 38% of revenue came from customers outside the United States. The company had 2,149 employees as of December 31, 2025 and sells almost exclusively through subscriptions.

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